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Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Waldo Cortes Acosta won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1562
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Elo1481
Ante Delija

Waldo Cortes AcostavsAnte DelijaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · Saturday, November 1, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Waldo Cortes Acosta won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:59

Style matchupWaldo Cortes Acosta: Pressure fightervsAnte Delija: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Waldo Cortes Acosta wins(65.0%)

Actual result: Waldo Cortes Acosta wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Waldo Cortes Acosta at +110 American odds

+$110 profit

$210 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Waldo Cortes Acosta is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Ante Delija has lost 50% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Waldo Cortes Acosta
Red Corner
VS
Ante Delija
Blue Corner
+110
(48%)
Vegas Odds
-130
(57%)
1562
Elo
1481
34
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'3"
198.12 cm
Reach
198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Waldo Cortes Acosta
oldest →
W
vs Serghei Spivac · Jun 25
L
vs Sergei Pavlovich · Aug 25
W
KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Nov 25
W
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jan 26
L
DECvs Alexander Volkov · May 26
latest
Ante Delija
oldest →
W
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Sep 25
L
vs Serghei Spivac · Feb 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Waldo Cortes AcostaMetricAnte Delija
5.34
Strikes / min
4.28
3.63
Strikes absorbed / min
3.95
54%
Strike defense
52%
0.40
TDs / 15 min
0.00
73%
Takedown defense
75%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.71Δ 1.38 — meaningful gap+0.33

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1517 vs 1517Strikes5.5 vs 4.3Takedowns0.4 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.10 vs 0.00Form0.2 vs 1.1
Waldo Cortes AcostaAnte Delija

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701500153015601590← oldermost recent →
Waldo Cortes Acosta(10 fights)Ante Delija(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +80.9|Blue -80.9
Recent Form
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff
Red +14.0|Blue -14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Waldo Cortes AcostaTargetAnte Delija

By target zone

9
82% acc · 75%
Head
13
39% acc · 81%
2
40% acc · 17%
Body
2
100% acc · 13%
1
100% acc · 8%
Leg
1
100% acc · 6%

By position

4
50% acc · 33%
Distance
15
45% acc · 94%
2
67% acc · 17%
Clinch
1
33% acc · 6%
6
100% acc · 50%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Waldo Cortes Acosta rounds
0
even
0
Ante Delija rounds
Round 1Waldo Cortes Acosta edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control1:37
Knockdowns1
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:25Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
12 / 17
Sig Strikes
16 / 36
70%
Sig Str %
44%
18 / 24
Total Strikes
18 / 38
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 1
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:37
Ctrl Time
0:25

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Ante Delija16 / 3618 / 380 / 10
1Waldo Cortes Acosta12 / 1718 / 240 / 00

Waldo Cortes Acosta

StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights7

Ante Delija

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights3