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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Volkan Oezdemir won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1515

Elo1437

Volkan OezdemirvsMisha CirkunovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · Sunday, May 28, 2017Stockholm, Sweden

Official fight result

Volkan Oezdemir won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:28

Style matchupVolkan Oezdemir: Pressure fightervsMisha Cirkunov: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Misha Cirkunov wins(56.4%)

Actual result: Volkan Oezdemir wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Misha Cirkunov at -470 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Misha Cirkunov enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Volkan Oezdemir is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Misha Cirkunov has lost 71% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Volkan Oezdemir

Red Corner

Misha Cirkunov

Blue Corner

+375

(21%)

Vegas Odds

-470

(82%)

1515

Elo

1437

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'3"

190.5 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Volkan Oezdemir

oldest →

vs Nikita Krylov · Oct 22

SUBvs Bogdan Guskov · Sep 23

KOvs Johnny Walker · Jun 24

vs Carlos Ulberg · Nov 24

KOvs Alonzo Menifield · Nov 25

latest

Misha CirkunovL4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Jimmy Crute · Sep 19

KOvs Ryan Spann · Mar 21

vs Krzysztof Jotko · Oct 21

SUBvs Wellington Turman · Feb 22

KOvs Alonzo Menifield · Oct 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Volkan OezdemirMetricMisha Cirkunov

4.99

Strikes / min

3.86

4.19

Strikes absorbed / min

3.06

55%

Strike defense

57%

0.50

TDs / 15 min

4.15

80%

Takedown defense

76%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

1.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.80evenly matched on net striking+0.80

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Volkan OezdemirMisha Cirkunov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Volkan Oezdemir(10 fights)Misha Cirkunov(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +78.3|Blue -78.3

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -1.6|Blue +1.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Layoff

Red -56.0|Blue +56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Volkan OezdemirTargetMisha Cirkunov

By target zone

71% acc · 100%

Head

44% acc · 78%

Body

67% acc · 22%

Leg

By position

60% acc · 60%

Distance

47% acc · 100%

Clinch

100% acc · 40%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Volkan Oezdemir rounds

even

Misha Cirkunov rounds

Round 1Volkan Oezdemir edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:02

Knockdowns1

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

5 / 7

Sig Strikes

9 / 19

71%

Sig Str %

47%

5 / 7

Total Strikes

9 / 19

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:02

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Misha Cirkunov	9 / 19	9 / 19	0 / 0	0
1	Volkan Oezdemir	5 / 7	5 / 7	0 / 0	0

Volkan Oezdemir

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights16

Misha Cirkunov

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights13