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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Jiri Prochazka won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1515

Elo1503

Volkan OezdemirvsJiri ProchazkaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · Saturday, July 11, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Jiri Prochazka won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 0:49

Style matchupVolkan Oezdemir: Pressure fightervsJiri Prochazka: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Volkan Oezdemir wins(73.7%)

Actual result: Jiri Prochazka wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Volkan Oezdemir at -159 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Volkan Oezdemir is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Jiri Prochazka has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Volkan Oezdemir has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Jiri Prochazka has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Volkan Oezdemir

Red Corner

Jiri Prochazka

Blue Corner

-159

(61%)

Vegas Odds

+129

(44%)

1515

Elo

1503

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'3"

190.5 cm

Reach

203.2 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Volkan Oezdemir

oldest →

vs Nikita Krylov · Oct 22

SUBvs Bogdan Guskov · Sep 23

KOvs Johnny Walker · Jun 24

vs Carlos Ulberg · Nov 24

KOvs Alonzo Menifield · Nov 25

latest

Jiri Prochazka

oldest →

KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · Apr 24

KOvs Alex Pereira · Jun 24

KOvs Jamahal Hill · Jan 25

KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Oct 25

KOvs Carlos Ulberg · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Volkan OezdemirMetricJiri Prochazka

4.99

Strikes / min

5.61

4.19

Strikes absorbed / min

5.67

55%

Strike defense

45%

0.50

TDs / 15 min

0.49

80%

Takedown defense

68%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.80evenly matched on net striking-0.06

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Volkan OezdemirJiri Prochazka

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Volkan Oezdemir(10 fights)Jiri Prochazka(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +11.9|Blue -11.9

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red -48.0|Blue +48.0

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Volkan OezdemirTargetJiri Prochazka

By target zone

39% acc · 73%

Head

43% acc · 88%

50% acc · 7%

Body

60% acc · 9%

80% acc · 20%

Leg

100% acc · 3%

By position

45% acc · 100%

Distance

45% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Volkan Oezdemir rounds

even

Jiri Prochazka rounds

Round 1Volkan Oezdemir edged it

Sig. strikes39

Takedowns0

Control0:17

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Jiri Prochazka edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

41 / 92

Sig Strikes

33 / 73

34%

Sig Str %

48%

44 / 95

Total Strikes

33 / 73

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:17

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jiri Prochazka	26 / 60	26 / 60	0 / 0
1	Volkan Oezdemir	39 / 83	42 / 86	0 / 1
2	Jiri Prochazka	7 / 13	7 / 13	0 / 0
2	Volkan Oezdemir	2 / 9	2 / 9	0 / 0

Volkan Oezdemir

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights16

Jiri Prochazka

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights8