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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Volkan Oezdemir won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1515

Elo1497

Volkan OezdemirvsIlir LatifiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · Saturday, August 10, 2019Montevideo, Uruguay

Official fight result

Volkan Oezdemir won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:31

Style matchupVolkan Oezdemir: Pressure fightervsIlir Latifi: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Volkan Oezdemir wins(55.4%)

Actual result: Volkan Oezdemir wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Volkan Oezdemir at -190 American odds

+$53 profit

$153 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ilir Latifi has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Volkan Oezdemir

Red Corner

Ilir Latifi

Blue Corner

-190

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+165

(38%)

1515

Elo

1497

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

5'10"

190.5 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Volkan Oezdemir

oldest →

vs Nikita Krylov · Oct 22

SUBvs Bogdan Guskov · Sep 23

KOvs Johnny Walker · Jun 24

vs Carlos Ulberg · Nov 24

KOvs Alonzo Menifield · Nov 25

latest

Ilir Latifi

oldest →

vs Corey Anderson · Dec 18

vs Derrick Lewis · Feb 20

vs Tanner Boser · Jun 21

vs Aleksei Oleinik · Oct 22

vs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Volkan OezdemirMetricIlir Latifi

4.99

Strikes / min

2.05

4.19

Strikes absorbed / min

2.93

55%

Strike defense

56%

0.50

TDs / 15 min

2.11

80%

Takedown defense

100%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.80Δ 1.68 — meaningful gap-0.88

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Volkan OezdemirIlir Latifi

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Volkan Oezdemir(10 fights)Ilir Latifi(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +18.2|Blue -18.2

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red +1.8|Blue -1.8

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -77.0|Blue +77.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Volkan OezdemirTargetIlir Latifi

By target zone

39% acc · 69%

Head

30% acc · 89%

79% acc · 17%

Body

33% acc · 11%

100% acc · 14%

Leg

By position

43% acc · 73%

Distance

30% acc · 94%

60% acc · 19%

Clinch

25% acc · 6%

71% acc · 8%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Volkan Oezdemir rounds

even

Ilir Latifi rounds

Round 1Volkan Oezdemir edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:12

5Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:07Control

Round 2Volkan Oezdemir edged it

Sig. strikes42

Takedowns0

Control0:13

Knockdowns2

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

64 / 137

Sig Strikes

18 / 60

46.5%

Sig Str %

28.5%

92 / 166

Total Strikes

20 / 62

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 5

—

TD %

20%

Sub Att

Rev

0:25

Ctrl Time

1:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ilir Latifi	5 / 19	7 / 21	1 / 5
1	Volkan Oezdemir	22 / 45	44 / 68	0 / 0
2	Ilir Latifi	13 / 41	13 / 41	0 / 0
2	Volkan Oezdemir	42 / 92	48 / 98	0 / 0

Volkan Oezdemir

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights16

Ilir Latifi

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights16