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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Volkan Oezdemir won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1515
Volkan Oezdemir
Elo1525
Alonzo Menifield

Volkan OezdemirvsAlonzo MenifieldUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · Saturday, November 22, 2025Doha, Qatar

Official fight result

Volkan Oezdemir won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:27

Style matchupVolkan Oezdemir: Pressure fightervsAlonzo Menifield: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Volkan Oezdemir wins(67.3%)

Actual result: Volkan Oezdemir wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Volkan Oezdemir at -230 American odds

+$43 profit

$143 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Alonzo Menifield enters on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Volkan Oezdemir is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Alonzo Menifield has lost 67% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Volkan Oezdemir
Red Corner
VS
Alonzo Menifield
Blue Corner
-230
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
1515
Elo
1525
36
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Volkan Oezdemir
oldest →
W
vs Paul Craig · Jul 22
L
vs Nikita Krylov · Oct 22
W
SUBvs Bogdan Guskov · Sep 23
W
KOvs Johnny Walker · Jun 24
L
vs Carlos Ulberg · Nov 24
latest
Alonzo MenifieldW3 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Carlos Ulberg · May 24
L
KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Aug 24
W
vs Julius Walker · Feb 25
W
vs Oumar Sy · Jun 25
W
KOvs Zhang Mingyang · May 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Volkan OezdemirMetricAlonzo Menifield
4.99
Strikes / min
3.77
4.19
Strikes absorbed / min
3.81
55%
Strike defense
50%
0.50
TDs / 15 min
0.50
80%
Takedown defense
78%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.80evenly matched on net striking-0.04

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1533 vs 1571Strikes5.0 vs 3.8Takedowns0.5 vs 0.5Sub Atts0.10 vs 0.20Form0.0 vs 0.5
Volkan OezdemirAlonzo Menifield

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Volkan Oezdemir(10 fights)Alonzo Menifield(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -10.0|Blue +10.0
Recent Form
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +203.0|Blue -203.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Volkan OezdemirTargetAlonzo Menifield

By target zone

12
36% acc · 92%
Head
1
20% acc · 50%
0
0% acc
Body
1
50% acc · 50%
1
100% acc · 8%
Leg
0

By position

13
37% acc · 100%
Distance
2
29% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Volkan Oezdemir rounds
0
even
0
Alonzo Menifield rounds
Round 1Volkan Oezdemir edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns1
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
13 / 35
Sig Strikes
2 / 7
37%
Sig Str %
28%
14 / 37
Total Strikes
2 / 7
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Alonzo Menifield2 / 72 / 70 / 00
1Volkan Oezdemir13 / 3514 / 370 / 00

Volkan Oezdemir

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights16

Alonzo Menifield

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights17