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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Volkan Oezdemir won · S-DEC R3

Elo1515

Elo1471

Volkan OezdemirvsAleksandar RakicUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · Saturday, December 21, 2019Busan, South Korea

Official fight result

Volkan Oezdemir won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupVolkan Oezdemir: Pressure fightervsAleksandar Rakic: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Aleksandar Rakic wins(55.5%)

Actual result: Volkan Oezdemir wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Aleksandar Rakic at -175 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Aleksandar Rakic enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Volkan Oezdemir is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Aleksandar Rakic has lost 60% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Volkan Oezdemir

Red Corner

Aleksandar Rakic

Blue Corner

+145

(41%)

Vegas Odds

-175

(64%)

1515

Elo

1471

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'4"

190.5 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Volkan Oezdemir

oldest →

vs Nikita Krylov · Oct 22

SUBvs Bogdan Guskov · Sep 23

KOvs Johnny Walker · Jun 24

vs Carlos Ulberg · Nov 24

KOvs Alonzo Menifield · Nov 25

latest

Aleksandar RakicL4 streak

oldest →

vs Thiago Santos · Mar 21

KOvs Jan Blachowicz · May 22

KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Apr 24

vs Magomed Ankalaev · Oct 24

KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Oct 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Volkan OezdemirMetricAleksandar Rakic

4.99

Strikes / min

4.13

4.19

Strikes absorbed / min

2.86

55%

Strike defense

51%

0.50

TDs / 15 min

0.64

80%

Takedown defense

85%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.80evenly matched on net striking+1.27

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Volkan OezdemirAleksandar Rakic

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Volkan Oezdemir(10 fights)Aleksandar Rakic(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +43.9|Blue -43.9

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -70.0|Blue +70.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Volkan OezdemirTargetAleksandar Rakic

By target zone

27% acc · 44%

Head

42% acc · 65%

78% acc · 22%

Body

89% acc · 21%

100% acc · 33%

Leg

77% acc · 13%

By position

39% acc · 75%

Distance

45% acc · 76%

73% acc · 25%

Clinch

86% acc · 24%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Volkan Oezdemir rounds

even

Aleksandar Rakic rounds

Round 1Aleksandar Rakic edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:29

23Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:47Control

Round 2Aleksandar Rakic edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:00

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:31Control

Round 3Aleksandar Rakic edged it

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns0

Control0:03

30Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:20Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

63 / 144

Sig Strikes

75 / 147

42.7%

Sig Str %

51%

118 / 199

Total Strikes

87 / 162

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 9

—

TD %

8.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:32

Ctrl Time

2:38

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Aleksandar Rakic	23 / 47	24 / 49	1 / 4	1
1	Volkan Oezdemir	12 / 39	19 / 46	0 / 0	0
2	Aleksandar Rakic	22 / 39	28 / 45	0 / 2	0
2	Volkan Oezdemir	21 / 40	42 / 61	0 / 0	0
3	Aleksandar Rakic	30 / 61	35 / 68	0 / 3	0
3	Volkan Oezdemir	30 / 65	57 / 92	0 / 0	0

Volkan Oezdemir

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights16

Aleksandar Rakic

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights11