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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Vladimir Matyushenko won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1352

Elo1490

Vladimir MatyushenkovsAlexandre FerreiraUFC Prediction Result

UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · Saturday, November 13, 2010Oberhausen, North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany

Official fight result

Vladimir Matyushenko won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:20

Model Prediction: Vladimir Matyushenko wins(69.7%)

Actual result: Vladimir Matyushenko wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Vladimir Matyushenko at -220 American odds

+$45 profit

$145 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Vladimir Matyushenko has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Vladimir Matyushenko has 70pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Vladimir Matyushenko has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Vladimir Matyushenko

Red Corner

Alexandre Ferreira

Blue Corner

-220

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+180

(36%)

1352

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'7"

187.96 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Vladimir MatyushenkoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Eliot Marshall · Mar 10

KOvs Jon Jones · Aug 10

KOvs Jason Brilz · Apr 11

KOvs Alexander Gustafsson · Dec 11

SUBvs Ryan Bader · Jan 13

latest

Alexandre FerreiraNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Vladimir MatyushenkoMetricAlexandre Ferreira

1.90

Strikes / min

2.57

1.62

Strikes absorbed / min

8.14

59%

Strike defense

42%

3.25

TDs / 15 min

0.00

70%

Takedown defense

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.28Δ 5.85 — meaningful gap-5.57

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Vladimir MatyushenkoAlexandre Ferreira

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Vladimir Matyushenko(6 fights)Alexandre Ferreira(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -138.3|Blue +138.3

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red -48.5|Blue +48.5

Grappler Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Vladimir MatyushenkoTargetAlexandre Ferreira

By target zone

59% acc · 100%

Head

33% acc · 17%

0% acc

Body

60% acc · 50%

Leg

100% acc · 33%

By position

33% acc · 16%

Distance

60% acc · 50%

0% acc

Clinch

60% acc · 50%

70% acc · 84%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Vladimir Matyushenko rounds

even

Alexandre Ferreira rounds

Round 1Vladimir Matyushenko edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns2

Control0:38

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

19 / 33

Sig Strikes

6 / 10

57%

Sig Str %

60%

33 / 48

Total Strikes

9 / 13

2 / 2

TDs

0 / 3

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:38

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Alexandre Ferreira	6 / 10	9 / 13	0 / 3	0
1	Vladimir Matyushenko	19 / 33	33 / 48	2 / 2	0

Vladimir Matyushenko

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights6

Alexandre Ferreira

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach—

Fights1