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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Yan Xiaonan won · Decision R3
Elo1366
Viviane Pereira
Elo1500

Viviane PereiravsYan XiaonanUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · Saturday, June 23, 2018Kallang, Singapore

Official fight result

Yan Xiaonan won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Yan Xiaonan wins(64.7%)

Actual result: Yan Xiaonan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Yan Xiaonan at +145 American odds

+$145 profit

$245 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Yan Xiaonan has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Viviane Pereira
Red Corner
VS
Yan Xiaonan
Blue Corner
-165
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+145
(41%)
1366
Elo
1500
32
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'1"
Height
5'5"
160.02 cm
Reach
160.02 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Viviane Pereira
oldest →
W
vs Valerie Letourneau · Dec 16
W
vs Jamie Moyle · Jun 17
L
vs Tatiana Suarez · Nov 17
latest
Yan Xiaonan
oldest →
W
vs Mackenzie Dern · Oct 22
W
KOvs Jessica Andrade · May 23
L
vs Zhang Weili · Apr 24
W
vs Tabatha Ricci · Nov 24
L
vs Virna Jandiroba · Apr 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Viviane PereiraMetricYan Xiaonan
2.70
Strikes / min
4.69
4.48
Strikes absorbed / min
3.23
58%
Strike defense
60%
0.25
TDs / 15 min
0.84
28%
Takedown defense
64%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.78Δ 3.24 — meaningful gap+1.46

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1516 vs 1513Strikes39.3 vs 96.0Takedowns0.3 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.33 vs 0.00Form0.0 vs 0.9
Viviane PereiraYan Xiaonan

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Viviane Pereira(4 fights)Yan Xiaonan(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -133.5|Blue +133.5
Recent Form
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score
Red +1.7|Blue -1.7
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red +14.0|Blue -14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Viviane PereiraTargetYan Xiaonan

By target zone

34
18% acc · 77%
Head
42
24% acc · 59%
10
43% acc · 23%
Body
2
25% acc · 3%
0
Leg
27
60% acc · 38%

By position

43
20% acc · 98%
Distance
71
31% acc · 100%
1
50% acc · 2%
Clinch
0
0% acc
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Viviane Pereira rounds
0
even
3
Yan Xiaonan rounds
Round 1Yan Xiaonan edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Yan Xiaonan edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:00
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Yan Xiaonan edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:00
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
44 / 212
Sig Strikes
71 / 227
19.7%
Sig Str %
30.7%
44 / 212
Total Strikes
71 / 227
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Yan Xiaonan20 / 6820 / 680 / 00
1Viviane Pereira9 / 519 / 510 / 00
2Yan Xiaonan27 / 8027 / 800 / 00
2Viviane Pereira23 / 8023 / 800 / 00
3Yan Xiaonan24 / 7924 / 790 / 00
3Viviane Pereira12 / 8112 / 810 / 00

Viviane Pereira

StanceOrthodox
Height61.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights4

Yan Xiaonan

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights13