Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Viviane Araujo won · U-DEC

Elo1497

Elo1499

Viviane AraujovsMontana De La RosaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · Saturday, September 5, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Viviane Araujo won

U-DEC

Style matchupViviane Araujo: Well-roundedvsMontana De La Rosa: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Montana De La Rosa wins(52.9%)

Actual result: Viviane Araujo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Montana De La Rosa at +145 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Viviane Araujo has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Viviane Araujo

Red Corner

Montana De La Rosa

Blue Corner

-182

(65%)

Vegas Odds

+145

(41%)

1497

Elo

1499

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'7"

172.72 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Viviane Araujo

oldest →

vs Amanda Ribas · Mar 23

vs Jennifer Maia · Oct 23

vs Natalia Silva · Feb 24

vs Karine Silva · Nov 24

vs Tracy Cortez · Jun 25

latest

Montana De La Rosa

oldest →

KOvs Ariane Lipski · Jun 21

vs Maycee Barber · Apr 22

SUBvs Tatiana Suarez · Feb 23

vs JJ Aldrich · Oct 23

vs Andrea Lee · Jun 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Viviane AraujoMetricMontana De La Rosa

3.84

Strikes / min

2.90

4.83

Strikes absorbed / min

3.39

55%

Strike defense

45%

1.72

TDs / 15 min

1.85

75%

Takedown defense

68%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.99evenly matched on net striking-0.49

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Viviane AraujoMontana De La Rosa

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Viviane Araujo(10 fights)Montana De La Rosa(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -2.0|Blue +2.0

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +63.0|Blue -63.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Viviane AraujoTargetMontana De La Rosa

By target zone

50% acc · 70%

Head

32% acc · 67%

92% acc · 15%

Body

57% acc · 14%

93% acc · 16%

Leg

94% acc · 19%

By position

58% acc · 98%

Distance

38% acc · 89%

67% acc · 2%

Clinch

69% acc · 11%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Viviane Araujo rounds

even

Montana De La Rosa rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:12

20Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:08Control

Round 2Viviane Araujo edged it

Sig. strikes36

Takedowns0

Control0:00

34Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Montana De La Rosa edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:00

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:28Control

Fight Stats

Totals

82 / 140

Sig Strikes

85 / 215

57.3%

Sig Str %

38.7%

91 / 150

Total Strikes

88 / 220

0 / 1

TDs

1 / 6

TD %

16.7%

Sub Att

Rev

0:12

Ctrl Time

0:36

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Montana De La Rosa	20 / 67	20 / 69	1 / 2
1	Viviane Araujo	23 / 44	26 / 47	0 / 1
2	Montana De La Rosa	34 / 75	34 / 75	0 / 1
2	Viviane Araujo	36 / 54	37 / 55	0 / 0
3	Montana De La Rosa	31 / 73	34 / 76	0 / 3
3	Viviane Araujo	23 / 42	28 / 48	0 / 0

Viviane Araujo

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights13

Montana De La Rosa

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights11