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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Viviane Araujo won · U-DEC R3

Elo1497

Elo1477

Viviane AraujovsAndrea LeeUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · Saturday, May 14, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Viviane Araujo won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupViviane Araujo: Well-roundedvsAndrea Lee: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Viviane Araujo wins(50.6%)

Actual result: Viviane Araujo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Viviane Araujo at +115 American odds

+$115 profit

$215 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Andrea Lee enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Viviane Araujo has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Viviane Araujo

Red Corner

Andrea Lee

Blue Corner

+115

(47%)

Vegas Odds

-135

(57%)

1497

Elo

1477

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'6"

172.72 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Viviane Araujo

oldest →

vs Amanda Ribas · Mar 23

vs Jennifer Maia · Oct 23

vs Natalia Silva · Feb 24

vs Karine Silva · Nov 24

vs Tracy Cortez · Jun 25

latest

Andrea LeeL5 streak

oldest →

vs Maycee Barber · Mar 23

vs Natalia Silva · Aug 23

vs Miranda Maverick · Feb 24

vs Montana De La Rosa · Jun 24

vs JJ Aldrich · Mar 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Viviane AraujoMetricAndrea Lee

3.84

Strikes / min

4.62

4.83

Strikes absorbed / min

3.91

55%

Strike defense

61%

1.72

TDs / 15 min

1.65

75%

Takedown defense

53%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.99Δ 1.70 — meaningful gap+0.71

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Viviane AraujoAndrea Lee

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Viviane Araujo(10 fights)Andrea Lee(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +20.0|Blue -20.0

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +182.0|Blue -182.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Viviane AraujoTargetAndrea Lee

By target zone

40% acc · 64%

Head

52% acc · 72%

82% acc · 23%

Body

69% acc · 19%

100% acc · 13%

Leg

100% acc · 9%

By position

48% acc · 82%

Distance

56% acc · 77%

Clinch

64% acc · 15%

54% acc · 18%

Ground

57% acc · 9%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Viviane Araujo rounds

even

Andrea Lee rounds

Round 1Andrea Lee edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns2

Control2:48

Knockdowns0

25Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:26Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Viviane Araujo edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control4:26

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Viviane Araujo edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns1

Control3:26

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:22Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

39 / 79

Sig Strikes

47 / 82

47%

Sig Str %

66.7%

96 / 160

Total Strikes

64 / 103

3 / 5

TDs

1 / 2

75%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

10:40

Ctrl Time

0:48

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Andrea Lee	25 / 51	29 / 55	1 / 1	0
1	Viviane Araujo	18 / 34	31 / 48	2 / 4	0
2	Andrea Lee	9 / 10	13 / 14	0 / 1	0
2	Viviane Araujo	14 / 27	48 / 83	0 / 0	2
3	Andrea Lee	13 / 21	22 / 34	0 / 0	0
3	Viviane Araujo	7 / 18	17 / 29	1 / 1	0

Viviane Araujo

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights13

Andrea Lee

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights14