Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Amanda Ribas won · U-DEC R3

Elo1497

Elo1480

Viviane AraujovsAmanda RibasUFC Prediction Result

UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · Saturday, March 4, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Amanda Ribas won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupViviane Araujo: Well-roundedvsAmanda Ribas: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Amanda Ribas wins(66.7%)

Actual result: Amanda Ribas wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Amanda Ribas at -130 American odds

+$77 profit

$177 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Amanda Ribas enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Viviane Araujo

Red Corner

Amanda Ribas

Blue Corner

+110

(48%)

Vegas Odds

-130

(57%)

1497

Elo

1480

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'4"

172.72 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Viviane Araujo

oldest →

vs Alexa Grasso · Oct 22

vs Jennifer Maia · Oct 23

vs Natalia Silva · Feb 24

vs Karine Silva · Nov 24

vs Tracy Cortez · Jun 25

latest

Amanda RibasL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Maycee Barber · Jun 23

KOvs Luana Pinheiro · Nov 23

vs Rose Namajunas · Mar 24

SUBvs Mackenzie Dern · Jan 25

KOvs Tabatha Ricci · Jul 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Viviane AraujoMetricAmanda Ribas

3.84

Strikes / min

4.26

4.83

Strikes absorbed / min

3.29

55%

Strike defense

60%

1.72

TDs / 15 min

2.05

75%

Takedown defense

82%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.99Δ 1.96 — meaningful gap+0.97

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Viviane AraujoAmanda Ribas

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Viviane Araujo(10 fights)Amanda Ribas(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +16.9|Blue -16.9

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red -154.0|Blue +154.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Viviane AraujoTargetAmanda Ribas

By target zone

35% acc · 80%

Head

48% acc · 72%

83% acc · 11%

Body

69% acc · 11%

100% acc · 9%

Leg

89% acc · 16%

By position

39% acc · 98%

Distance

53% acc · 95%

Clinch

100% acc · 2%

Ground

71% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Viviane Araujo rounds

even

Amanda Ribas rounds

Round 1Amanda Ribas edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:00

31Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:25Control

Round 2Amanda Ribas edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:00

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

4:40Control

Round 3Amanda Ribas edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:00

58Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:15Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

46 / 115

Sig Strikes

98 / 183

42.3%

Sig Str %

54%

86 / 162

Total Strikes

205 / 320

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 2

—

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

8:20

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Amanda Ribas	31 / 71	48 / 91	1 / 1	0
1	Viviane Araujo	18 / 48	35 / 65	0 / 0	1
2	Amanda Ribas	9 / 15	81 / 112	0 / 0	0
2	Viviane Araujo	4 / 8	15 / 24	0 / 0	0
3	Amanda Ribas	58 / 97	76 / 117	1 / 1	0
3	Viviane Araujo	24 / 59	36 / 73	0 / 0	1

Viviane Araujo

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights13

Amanda Ribas

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights13