Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Vitor Petrino won · U-DEC R3

Elo1543

Elo1501

Vitor PetrinovsTyson PedroUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · Saturday, March 2, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Vitor Petrino won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Vitor Petrino wins(85.2%)

Actual result: Vitor Petrino wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Vitor Petrino at -455 American odds

+$22 profit

$122 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Vitor Petrino enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Tyson Pedro is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Vitor Petrino has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Vitor Petrino has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Vitor Petrino

Red Corner

Tyson Pedro

Blue Corner

-455

(82%)

Vegas Odds

+350

(22%)

1543

Elo

1501

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'3"

195.58 cm

Reach

200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Vitor PetrinoW3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Anthony Smith · May 24

KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Dec 24

SUBvs Austen Lane · Jul 25

KOvs Thomas Petersen · Oct 25

vs Steven Asplund · Mar 26

latest

Tyson Pedro

oldest →

KOvs Mauricio Rua · Dec 18

KOvs Ike Villanueva · Apr 22

KOvs Harry Hunsucker · Aug 22

vs Modestas Bukauskas · Feb 23

KOvs Anton Turkalj · Sep 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Vitor PetrinoMetricTyson Pedro

3.24

Strikes / min

2.90

2.71

Strikes absorbed / min

2.39

51%

Strike defense

56%

2.60

TDs / 15 min

0.76

79%

Takedown defense

50%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.53evenly matched on net striking+0.51

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Vitor PetrinoTyson Pedro

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Vitor Petrino(9 fights)Tyson Pedro(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +42.4|Blue -42.4

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red -56.0|Blue +56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Vitor PetrinoTargetTyson Pedro

By target zone

27% acc · 59%

Head

10% acc · 10%

50% acc · 15%

Body

73% acc · 37%

88% acc · 26%

Leg

100% acc · 53%

By position

35% acc · 93%

Distance

49% acc · 97%

Clinch

100% acc · 3%

67% acc · 7%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Vitor Petrino rounds

even

Tyson Pedro rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:00

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control1:16

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:10Control

Round 3Vitor Petrino edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns3

Control4:08

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

27 / 75

Sig Strikes

30 / 60

36.3%

Sig Str %

47.7%

33 / 82

Total Strikes

33 / 64

3 / 5

TDs

0 / 2

37.5%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

5:24

Ctrl Time

0:10

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Tyson Pedro	11 / 24	11 / 24	0 / 0
1	Vitor Petrino	10 / 28	10 / 28	0 / 0
2	Tyson Pedro	14 / 22	14 / 23	0 / 2
2	Vitor Petrino	10 / 30	10 / 30	0 / 1
3	Tyson Pedro	5 / 14	8 / 17	0 / 0
3	Vitor Petrino	7 / 17	13 / 24	3 / 4

Vitor Petrino

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights9

Tyson Pedro

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights11