Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Vitor Petrino won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1543

Elo1538

Vitor PetrinovsModestas BukauskasUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · Saturday, November 4, 2023Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil

Official fight result

Vitor Petrino won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:03

Style matchupVitor Petrino: WrestlervsModestas Bukauskas: Striker

Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.

Model Prediction: Vitor Petrino wins(85.5%)

Actual result: Vitor Petrino wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Vitor Petrino enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Stance matchup historically favors Modestas Bukauskas (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Vitor Petrino

Red Corner

Modestas Bukauskas

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1543

Elo

1538

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

6'2"

Height

6'3"

195.58 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Vitor PetrinoW3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Anthony Smith · May 24

KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Dec 24

SUBvs Austen Lane · Jul 25

KOvs Thomas Petersen · Oct 25

vs Steven Asplund · Mar 26

latest

Modestas Bukauskas

oldest →

KOvs Rafael Cerqueira · Feb 25

vs Ion Cutelaba · May 25

KOvs Paul Craig · Sep 25

KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jan 26

DECvs Christian Edwards · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Vitor PetrinoMetricModestas Bukauskas

3.24

Strikes / min

3.24

2.71

Strikes absorbed / min

4.05

51%

Strike defense

50%

2.60

TDs / 15 min

0.26

79%

Takedown defense

79%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.53Δ 1.34 — meaningful gap-0.81

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Vitor PetrinoModestas Bukauskas

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Vitor Petrino(9 fights)Modestas Bukauskas(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +4.9|Blue -4.9

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red -21.0|Blue +21.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Vitor PetrinoTargetModestas Bukauskas

By target zone

26% acc · 75%

Head

36% acc · 56%

67% acc · 25%

Body

Leg

80% acc · 44%

By position

33% acc · 88%

Distance

47% acc · 100%

Clinch

20% acc · 13%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Vitor Petrino rounds

even

Modestas Bukauskas rounds

Round 1Vitor Petrino edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns1

Control2:18

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Vitor Petrino edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:01

Knockdowns1

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

8 / 26

Sig Strikes

9 / 19

34%

Sig Str %

49%

14 / 34

Total Strikes

12 / 23

1 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

50%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

2:19

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Modestas Bukauskas	5 / 12	8 / 16	0 / 0
1	Vitor Petrino	6 / 21	12 / 29	1 / 2
2	Modestas Bukauskas	4 / 7	4 / 7	0 / 0
2	Vitor Petrino	2 / 5	2 / 5	0 / 0

Vitor Petrino

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights9

Modestas Bukauskas

StanceSwitch

Height75.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights12