Middleweight

3 Rounds

Vitor Miranda won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1367

Elo1357

Vitor MirandavsClint HesterUFC Prediction Result

UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · Saturday, August 1, 2015Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Official fight result

Vitor Miranda won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:38

Model Prediction: Clint Hester wins(56.9%)

Actual result: Vitor Miranda wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Clint Hester at -140 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Vitor Miranda enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Vitor Miranda is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Clint Hester has lost 67% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Vitor Miranda

Red Corner

Clint Hester

Blue Corner

+120

(45%)

Vegas Odds

-140

(58%)

1367

Elo

1357

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'2"

195.58 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Vitor MirandaL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Jake Collier · Dec 14

KOvs Marcelo Guimaraes · Mar 16

vs Chris Camozzi · May 16

vs Marvin Vettori · Jun 17

vs Abu Azaitar · Jul 18

latest

Clint HesterL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Dylan Andrews · Dec 13

vs Andy Enz · Feb 14

vs Antonio Braga Neto · Jun 14

KOvs Robert Whittaker · Nov 14

SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Apr 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Vitor MirandaMetricClint Hester

2.98

Strikes / min

3.36

2.95

Strikes absorbed / min

3.44

58%

Strike defense

56%

0.95

TDs / 15 min

1.02

50%

Takedown defense

60%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.03evenly matched on net striking-0.08

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Vitor MirandaClint Hester

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Vitor Miranda(7 fights)Clint Hester(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +9.8|Blue -9.8

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -2.0|Blue +2.0

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -43.0|Blue +43.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Vitor MirandaTargetClint Hester

By target zone

79% acc · 91%

Head

37% acc · 73%

25% acc · 2%

Body

100% acc · 20%

80% acc · 7%

Leg

100% acc · 7%

By position

50% acc · 12%

Distance

36% acc · 60%

50% acc · 2%

Clinch

0% acc

83% acc · 86%

Ground

75% acc · 40%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Vitor Miranda rounds

even

Clint Hester rounds

Round 1Vitor Miranda edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control2:36

8Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:16Control

Round 2Vitor Miranda edged it

Sig. strikes38

Takedowns1

Control0:49

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:44Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

57 / 75

Sig Strikes

15 / 34

73.5%

Sig Str %

47%

95 / 114

Total Strikes

20 / 39

1 / 1

TDs

1 / 5

100%

TD %

25%

Sub Att

Rev

3:25

Ctrl Time

3:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Clint Hester	8 / 13	12 / 17	1 / 2
1	Vitor Miranda	19 / 28	45 / 55	0 / 0
2	Clint Hester	7 / 21	8 / 22	0 / 3
2	Vitor Miranda	38 / 47	50 / 59	1 / 1

Vitor Miranda

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights7

Clint Hester

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights7