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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Vitor Belfort won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1491
Vitor Belfort
Elo1490
Yoshihiro Akiyama

Vitor BelfortvsYoshihiro AkiyamaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · Saturday, August 6, 2011Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA

Official fight result

Vitor Belfort won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:52

Model Prediction: Vitor Belfort wins(51.8%)

Actual result: Vitor Belfort wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Vitor Belfort at -320 American odds

+$31 profit

$131 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Yoshihiro Akiyama has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Vitor Belfort (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Vitor Belfort
Red Corner
VS
Yoshihiro Akiyama
Blue Corner
-320
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+290
(26%)
1491
Elo
1490
49
Age
51
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'10"
187.96 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Vitor Belfort
oldest →
W
KOvs Dan Henderson · Nov 15
L
KOvs Jacare Souza · May 16
L
KOvs Gegard Mousasi · Oct 16
W
vs Nate Marquardt · Jun 17
L
KOvs Lyoto Machida · May 18
latest
Yoshihiro Akiyama
oldest →
L
SUBvs Chris Leben · Jul 10
L
vs Michael Bisping · Oct 10
L
vs Jake Shields · Feb 12
W
vs Amir Sadollah · Sep 14
L
vs Alberto Mina · Nov 15
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Vitor BelfortMetricYoshihiro Akiyama
1.59
Strikes / min
3.10
2.83
Strikes absorbed / min
3.62
50%
Strike defense
57%
1.02
TDs / 15 min
2.29
53%
Takedown defense
92%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.24evenly matched on net striking-0.52

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1483 vs 1466Strikes9.3 vs 44.0Takedowns0.5 vs 2.7Sub Atts0.46 vs 0.33Form-1.0 vs -1.0
Vitor BelfortYoshihiro Akiyama

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
Vitor Belfort(10 fights)Yoshihiro Akiyama(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Recent Form
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red -2.2|Blue +2.2
Grappler Score
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff
Red -112.0|Blue +112.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Vitor BelfortTargetYoshihiro Akiyama

By target zone

11
50% acc · 92%
Head
0
0% acc
0
Body
0
1
33% acc · 8%
Leg
1
33% acc · 100%

By position

3
30% acc · 25%
Distance
1
11% acc · 100%
3
60% acc · 25%
Clinch
0
6
60% acc · 50%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Vitor Belfort rounds
0
even
0
Yoshihiro Akiyama rounds
Round 1Vitor Belfort edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:09
Knockdowns2
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

2
KD
0
12 / 25
Sig Strikes
1 / 9
48%
Sig Str %
11%
12 / 25
Total Strikes
1 / 9
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:09
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Yoshihiro Akiyama1 / 91 / 90 / 00
1Vitor Belfort12 / 2512 / 250 / 00

Vitor Belfort

StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights13

Yoshihiro Akiyama

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights6