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Middleweight
5 Rounds
Vitor Belfort won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1491
Vitor Belfort
Elo1363

Vitor BelfortvsMichael BispingUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping · Saturday, January 19, 2013Sao Paulo, Brazil

Official fight result

Vitor Belfort won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:27

Model Prediction: Michael Bisping wins(57.6%)

Actual result: Vitor Belfort wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Michael Bisping at +111 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Michael Bisping has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Vitor Belfort (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Vitor Belfort
Red Corner
VS
Michael Bisping
Blue Corner
-121
(55%)
Vegas Odds
+111
(47%)
1491
Elo
1363
49
Age
47
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'1"
187.96 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Vitor Belfort
oldest →
W
KOvs Dan Henderson · Nov 15
L
KOvs Jacare Souza · May 16
L
KOvs Gegard Mousasi · Oct 16
W
vs Nate Marquardt · Jun 17
L
KOvs Lyoto Machida · May 18
latest
Michael BispingL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Anderson Silva · Feb 16
W
KOvs Luke Rockhold · Jun 16
W
vs Dan Henderson · Oct 16
L
SUBvs Georges St-Pierre · Nov 17
L
KOvs Kelvin Gastelum · Nov 17
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Vitor BelfortMetricMichael Bisping
1.59
Strikes / min
4.33
2.83
Strikes absorbed / min
2.71
50%
Strike defense
65%
1.02
TDs / 15 min
1.05
53%
Takedown defense
63%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.24Δ 2.86 — meaningful gap+1.62

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1509 vs 1565Strikes10.2 vs 49.4Takedowns0.4 vs 1.5Sub Atts0.50 vs 0.29Form-0.1 vs 0.6
Vitor BelfortMichael Bisping

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Vitor Belfort(10 fights)Michael Bisping(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +128.3|Blue -128.3
Recent Form
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score
Red -2.0|Blue +2.0
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Vitor BelfortTargetMichael Bisping

By target zone

12
26% acc · 67%
Head
8
14% acc · 57%
6
86% acc · 33%
Body
0
0% acc
0
Leg
6
86% acc · 43%

By position

12
27% acc · 67%
Distance
14
22% acc · 100%
1
50% acc · 6%
Clinch
0
0% acc
5
71% acc · 28%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Vitor Belfort rounds
1
even
0
Michael Bisping rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Vitor Belfort edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:06
Knockdowns1
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
18 / 53
Sig Strikes
14 / 66
38.5%
Sig Str %
23.5%
19 / 54
Total Strikes
14 / 66
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 1
—
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:06
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Michael Bisping10 / 5210 / 520 / 10
1Vitor Belfort9 / 3610 / 370 / 00
2Michael Bisping4 / 144 / 140 / 00
2Vitor Belfort9 / 179 / 170 / 00

Vitor Belfort

StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights13

Michael Bisping

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights18