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Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Vitor Belfort won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1491
Vitor Belfort
Elo1491
Dan Henderson

Vitor BelfortvsDan HendersonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · Saturday, November 9, 2013Goiania, Goias, Brazil

Official fight result

Vitor Belfort won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:17

Model Prediction: Vitor Belfort wins(57.3%)

Actual result: Vitor Belfort wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Vitor Belfort at -220 American odds

+$45 profit

$145 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Dan Henderson is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Vitor Belfort has lost 83% of fights by KO.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Vitor Belfort (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Vitor Belfort
Red Corner
VS
Dan Henderson
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+200
(33%)
1491
Elo
1491
49
Age
55
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Vitor Belfort
oldest →
W
KOvs Dan Henderson · Nov 15
L
KOvs Jacare Souza · May 16
L
KOvs Gegard Mousasi · Oct 16
W
vs Nate Marquardt · Jun 17
L
KOvs Lyoto Machida · May 18
latest
Dan Henderson
oldest →
L
KOvs Gegard Mousasi · Jan 15
W
KOvs Tim Boetsch · Jun 15
L
KOvs Vitor Belfort · Nov 15
W
KOvs Hector Lombard · Jun 16
L
vs Michael Bisping · Oct 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Vitor BelfortMetricDan Henderson
1.59
Strikes / min
2.44
2.83
Strikes absorbed / min
2.70
50%
Strike defense
51%
1.02
TDs / 15 min
1.52
53%
Takedown defense
57%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.24evenly matched on net striking-0.26

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1547 vs 1484Strikes10.6 vs 38.3Takedowns0.3 vs 1.4Sub Atts0.44 vs 0.50Form0.6 vs -0.8
Vitor BelfortDan Henderson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
Vitor Belfort(10 fights)Dan Henderson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Recent Form
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Striker Score
Red -1.7|Blue +1.7
Grappler Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff
Red +28.0|Blue -28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Vitor BelfortTargetDan Henderson

By target zone

12
71% acc · 100%
Head
1
50% acc · 100%
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0

By position

1
100% acc · 8%
Distance
1
50% acc · 100%
2
100% acc · 17%
Clinch
0
9
64% acc · 75%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Vitor Belfort rounds
0
even
0
Dan Henderson rounds
Round 1Vitor Belfort edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:12
Knockdowns2
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

2
KD
0
12 / 17
Sig Strikes
1 / 2
70%
Sig Str %
50%
13 / 18
Total Strikes
1 / 2
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:12
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Dan Henderson1 / 21 / 20 / 00
1Vitor Belfort12 / 1713 / 180 / 00

Vitor Belfort

StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights13

Dan Henderson

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights11