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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Viscardi Andrade won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1356

Viscardi AndradevsGasan UmalatovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · Saturday, November 7, 2015Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil

Official fight result

Viscardi Andrade won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Gasan Umalatov wins(52.6%)

Actual result: Viscardi Andrade wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Gasan Umalatov at -130 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Gasan Umalatov has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Viscardi Andrade has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Viscardi Andrade

Red Corner

Gasan Umalatov

Blue Corner

+110

(48%)

Vegas Odds

-130

(57%)

1490

Elo

1356

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'11"

190.5 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Viscardi Andrade

oldest →

KOvs Bristol Marunde · Aug 13

DECvs Nico Musoke · Feb 14

vs Richard Walsh · Mar 16

latest

Gasan Umalatov

oldest →

vs Neil Magny · Feb 14

vs Paulo Thiago · May 14

vs Cathal Pendred · Oct 14

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Viscardi AndradeMetricGasan Umalatov

3.26

Strikes / min

2.23

2.77

Strikes absorbed / min

4.10

63%

Strike defense

59%

1.93

TDs / 15 min

0.75

66%

Takedown defense

90%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.49Δ 2.36 — meaningful gap-1.87

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Viscardi AndradeGasan Umalatov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Viscardi Andrade(4 fights)Gasan Umalatov(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +134.8|Blue -134.8

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +231.0|Blue -231.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Viscardi AndradeTargetGasan Umalatov

By target zone

30% acc · 49%

Head

32% acc · 74%

70% acc · 36%

Body

56% acc · 13%

80% acc · 15%

Leg

83% acc · 13%

By position

36% acc · 71%

Distance

37% acc · 89%

77% acc · 29%

Clinch

40% acc · 11%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Viscardi Andrade rounds

even

Gasan Umalatov rounds

Round 1Viscardi Andrade edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:00

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

Round 2Viscardi Andrade edged it

Sig. strikes34

Takedowns0

Control0:00

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Round 3Viscardi Andrade edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:02

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:34Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

78 / 183

Sig Strikes

38 / 102

42.3%

Sig Str %

36.7%

80 / 186

Total Strikes

40 / 107

0 / 2

TDs

0 / 1

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:02

Ctrl Time

0:41

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Gasan Umalatov	6 / 16	6 / 17	0 / 0
1	Viscardi Andrade	17 / 38	19 / 41	0 / 0
2	Gasan Umalatov	12 / 33	12 / 33	0 / 1
2	Viscardi Andrade	34 / 77	34 / 77	0 / 0
3	Gasan Umalatov	20 / 53	22 / 57	0 / 0
3	Viscardi Andrade	27 / 68	27 / 68	0 / 2

Viscardi Andrade

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights4

Gasan Umalatov

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights4