Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Welterweight
3 Rounds
Viscardi Andrade won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1490
Viscardi Andrade
Elo1352
Bristol Marunde

Viscardi AndradevsBristol MarundeUFC Prediction Result

UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung · Saturday, August 3, 2013Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Official fight result

Viscardi Andrade won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:36

Model Prediction: Bristol Marunde wins(73.1%)

Actual result: Viscardi Andrade wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Bristol Marunde at +177 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Viscardi Andrade has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Viscardi Andrade has 52pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Viscardi Andrade
Red Corner
VS
Bristol Marunde
Blue Corner
-192
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+177
(36%)
1490
Elo
1352
42
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'1"
190.5 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Viscardi AndradeW2 streak
oldest →
L
DECvs Nico Musoke · Feb 14
W
vs Gasan Umalatov · Nov 15
W
vs Richard Walsh · Mar 16
latest
Bristol Marunde
oldest →
L
KOvs Clint Hester · Apr 13
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Viscardi AndradeMetricBristol Marunde
3.26
Strikes / min
1.42
2.77
Strikes absorbed / min
4.40
63%
Strike defense
47%
1.93
TDs / 15 min
1.60
66%
Takedown defense
14%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.49Δ 3.47 — meaningful gap-2.98

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1482Strikes— vs 21.0Takedowns— vs 3.0Sub Atts— vs 0.00Form0.0 vs -1.0
Viscardi AndradeBristol Marunde

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Viscardi Andrade(4 fights)Bristol Marunde(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +138.1|Blue -138.1
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Grappler Score
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Viscardi AndradeTargetBristol Marunde

By target zone

9
60% acc · 75%
Head
0
0% acc
1
100% acc · 8%
Body
0
2
100% acc · 17%
Leg
0

By position

8
73% acc · 67%
Distance
0
0% acc
0
Clinch
0
4
57% acc · 33%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Viscardi Andrade rounds
0
even
0
Bristol Marunde rounds
Round 1Viscardi Andrade edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:19
Knockdowns1
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
12 / 18
Sig Strikes
0 / 17
66%
Sig Str %
0%
12 / 18
Total Strikes
0 / 17
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:19
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Bristol Marunde0 / 170 / 170 / 00
1Viscardi Andrade12 / 1812 / 180 / 00

Viscardi Andrade

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights4

Bristol Marunde

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights2