Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Vinicius Oliveira won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1538

Elo1529

Vinicius OliveiravsBenardo SopajUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · Saturday, March 2, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Vinicius Oliveira won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 4:41

Style matchupVinicius Oliveira: Elusive strikervsBenardo Sopaj: Wrestler

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Vinicius Oliveira wins(72.8%)

Actual result: Vinicius Oliveira wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Vinicius Oliveira at -175 American odds

+$57 profit

$157 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Vinicius Oliveira (52.9%).
Vinicius Oliveira has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Vinicius Oliveira

Red Corner

Benardo Sopaj

Blue Corner

-175

(64%)

Vegas Odds

+114

(47%)

1538

Elo

1529

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'6"

177.8 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Vinicius Oliveira

oldest →

vs Ricky Simon · Jun 24

vs Said Nurmagomedov · Feb 25

vs Kyler Phillips · Jul 25

SUBvs Mario Bautista · Feb 26

KOvs Andre Fili · Jun 26

latest

Benardo SopajW2 streak

oldest →

vs Ricky Turcios · Jan 25

SUBvs Timmy Cuamba · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Vinicius OliveiraMetricBenardo Sopaj

4.73

Strikes / min

4.24

2.70

Strikes absorbed / min

4.88

57%

Strike defense

49%

1.45

TDs / 15 min

2.53

70%

Takedown defense

76%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.03Δ 2.67 — meaningful gap-0.64

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Vinicius OliveiraBenardo Sopaj

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Vinicius Oliveira(6 fights)Benardo Sopaj(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +9.6|Blue -9.6

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Vinicius OliveiraTargetBenardo Sopaj

By target zone

43% acc · 58%

Head

52% acc · 93%

55% acc · 16%

Body

33% acc · 2%

52% acc · 25%

Leg

100% acc · 4%

By position

44% acc · 73%

Distance

38% acc · 47%

23% acc · 4%

Clinch

0% acc

79% acc · 22%

Ground

83% acc · 53%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Vinicius Oliveira rounds

even

Benardo Sopaj rounds

Round 1Benardo Sopaj edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:00

14Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:45Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns2

Control1:36

18Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:43Control

Round 3Vinicius Oliveira edged it

Sig. strikes43

Takedowns0

Control0:01

Knockdowns1

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

67 / 144

Sig Strikes

45 / 86

42.7%

Sig Str %

54.7%

88 / 170

Total Strikes

92 / 146

2 / 4

TDs

3 / 4

33%

TD %

75%

Sub Att

Rev

1:37

Ctrl Time

4:28

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Benardo Sopaj	14 / 26	33 / 48	2 / 2
1	Vinicius Oliveira	7 / 31	9 / 34	0 / 0
2	Benardo Sopaj	18 / 24	46 / 62	1 / 2
2	Vinicius Oliveira	17 / 31	36 / 54	2 / 3
3	Benardo Sopaj	13 / 36	13 / 36	0 / 0
3	Vinicius Oliveira	43 / 82	43 / 82	0 / 1

Vinicius Oliveira

StanceSwitch

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights7

Benardo Sopaj

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights2