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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Vincente Luque won · Decision R3
Elo1492
Elo1399
Mike Perry

Vincente LuquevsMike PerryUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · Saturday, August 10, 2019Montevideo, Uruguay

Official fight result

Vincente Luque won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Vincente Luque wins(57.6%)

Actual result: Vincente Luque wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Vincente Luque at -250 American odds

+$40 profit

$140 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Vincente Luque has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Vincente Luque
Red Corner
VS
Mike Perry
Blue Corner
-250
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+210
(32%)
1492
Elo
1399
27
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'10"
190.5 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Vincente LuqueNo prior UFC fights on record.
Mike PerryL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Alex Oliveira · Apr 19
L
KOvs Geoff Neal · Dec 19
W
vs Mickey Gall · Jun 20
L
vs Tim Means · Nov 20
L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Apr 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Vincente LuqueMetricMike Perry
—
Strikes / min
4.32
—
Strikes absorbed / min
5.16
—
Strike defense
52%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.81
—
Takedown defense
78%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1548Strikes5.2 vs 4.3Takedowns0.8 vs 0.6Sub Atts1.00 vs 0.00Form0.0 vs 0.1
Vincente LuqueMike Perry

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Vincente Luque(1 fights)Mike Perry(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +93.0|Blue -93.0
Recent Form
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score
Red +47.4|Blue -47.4
Grappler Score
Red +49.9|Blue -49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Vincente Luque

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights1

Mike Perry

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights15