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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Viktoriia Dudakova won · U-DEC R3
Elo1492
Elo1477
Jinh Yu Frey

Viktoriia DudakovavsJinh Yu FreyUFC Prediction Result

UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · Saturday, October 21, 2023Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Viktoriia Dudakova won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupViktoriia Dudakova: WrestlervsJinh Yu Frey: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Viktoriia Dudakova wins(76.3%)

Actual result: Viktoriia Dudakova wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Viktoriia Dudakova at -520 American odds

+$19 profit

$119 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jinh Yu Frey enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Jinh Yu Frey has 57pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Jinh Yu Frey (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Viktoriia Dudakova
Red Corner
VS
Jinh Yu Frey
Blue Corner
-520
(84%)
Vegas Odds
+350
(22%)
1492
Elo
1477
27
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'5"
Height
5'3"
170.18 cm
Reach
165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Viktoriia DudakovaL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Istela Nunes · Jul 23
L
vs Sam Hughes · Aug 24
L
KOvs Fatima Kline · Jan 25
latest
Jinh Yu FreyL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Gloria de Paula · Mar 21
W
vs Ashley Yoder · Jul 21
L
vs Vanessa Demopoulos · Jun 22
L
KOvs Polyana Viana · Nov 22
L
vs Elise Reed · Jun 23
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Viktoriia DudakovaMetricJinh Yu Frey
2.87
Strikes / min
2.97
3.40
Strikes absorbed / min
4.23
50%
Strike defense
52%
2.73
TDs / 15 min
1.02
33%
Takedown defense
90%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.53evenly matched on net striking-1.26

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1514 vs 1454Strikes3.5 vs 3.0Takedowns2.6 vs 1.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.30Form0.9 vs -0.8
Viktoriia DudakovaJinh Yu Frey

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Viktoriia Dudakova(4 fights)Jinh Yu Frey(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +14.7|Blue -14.7
Recent Form
Red +1.7|Blue -1.7
Striker Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red -42.0|Blue +42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Viktoriia DudakovaTargetJinh Yu Frey

By target zone

47
41% acc · 64%
Head
31
39% acc · 66%
26
87% acc · 35%
Body
8
62% acc · 17%
1
100% acc · 1%
Leg
8
100% acc · 17%

By position

60
46% acc · 81%
Distance
37
42% acc · 79%
14
93% acc · 19%
Clinch
3
75% acc · 6%
0
Ground
7
88% acc · 15%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Viktoriia Dudakova rounds
0
even
1
Jinh Yu Frey rounds
Round 1Viktoriia Dudakova edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns0
Control0:18
Knockdowns1
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Jinh Yu Frey edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:48Control
Round 3Viktoriia Dudakova edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:00
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:52Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
74 / 146
Sig Strikes
47 / 101
50%
Sig Str %
48%
109 / 183
Total Strikes
65 / 121
0 / 3
TDs
1 / 3
0%
TD %
50%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:18
Ctrl Time
4:40

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Jinh Yu Frey16 / 4616 / 460 / 00
1Viktoriia Dudakova30 / 5331 / 540 / 30
2Jinh Yu Frey11 / 2228 / 401 / 10
2Viktoriia Dudakova11 / 2337 / 510 / 00
3Jinh Yu Frey20 / 3321 / 350 / 20
3Viktoriia Dudakova33 / 7041 / 780 / 00

Viktoriia Dudakova

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4

Jinh Yu Frey

StanceSouthpaw
Height63.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights8