Skip to content
Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Viktoriia Dudakova won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1492
Elo1475
Istela Nunes

Viktoriia DudakovavsIstela NunesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · Saturday, July 15, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Viktoriia Dudakova won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:34

Style matchupViktoriia Dudakova: WrestlervsIstela Nunes: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Viktoriia Dudakova wins(73.2%)

Actual result: Viktoriia Dudakova wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Viktoriia Dudakova at -200 American odds

+$50 profit

$150 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Istela Nunes enters on a 4-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Viktoriia Dudakova
Red Corner
VS
Istela Nunes
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+168
(37%)
1492
Elo
1475
27
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'4"
170.18 cm
Reach
167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Viktoriia DudakovaL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Jinh Yu Frey · Oct 23
L
vs Sam Hughes · Aug 24
L
KOvs Fatima Kline · Jan 25
latest
Istela NunesL4 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Ariane Carnelossi · Oct 21
L
vs Sam Hughes · Apr 22
L
KOvs Yazmin Jauregui · Dec 22
L
vs Loma Lookboonmee · Apr 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Viktoriia DudakovaMetricIstela Nunes
2.87
Strikes / min
4.28
3.40
Strikes absorbed / min
4.07
50%
Strike defense
59%
2.73
TDs / 15 min
0.00
33%
Takedown defense
47%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.53evenly matched on net striking+0.21

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1453Strikes3.5 vs 5.0Takedowns2.6 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form0.0 vs -1.0
Viktoriia DudakovaIstela Nunes

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601475149015051520← oldermost recent →
Viktoriia Dudakova(4 fights)Istela Nunes(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +16.8|Blue -16.8
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red +49.5|Blue -49.5
Grappler Score
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Viktoriia DudakovaTargetIstela Nunes

By target zone

1
14% acc · 33%
Head
1
25% acc · 50%
2
50% acc · 67%
Body
1
50% acc · 50%
0
Leg
0

By position

2
20% acc · 67%
Distance
2
33% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
1
100% acc · 33%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Viktoriia Dudakova rounds
0
even
0
Istela Nunes rounds
Round 1Viktoriia Dudakova edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control0:06
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
3 / 11
Sig Strikes
2 / 6
27%
Sig Str %
33%
3 / 11
Total Strikes
2 / 6
1 / 1
TDs
0 / 0
100%
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:06
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Istela Nunes2 / 62 / 60 / 00
1Viktoriia Dudakova3 / 113 / 111 / 10

Viktoriia Dudakova

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4

Istela Nunes

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights5