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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Ruslan Magomedov won · U-DEC R3

Elo1359

Elo1490

Viktor PestavsRuslan MagomedovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · Saturday, May 31, 2014Berlin, Germany

Official fight result

Ruslan Magomedov won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupViktor Pesta: WrestlervsRuslan Magomedov: Elusive striker

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Ruslan Magomedov wins(50.6%)

Actual result: Ruslan Magomedov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ruslan Magomedov at -170 American odds

+$59 profit

$159 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Viktor Pesta enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Ruslan Magomedov has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Viktor Pesta

Red Corner

Ruslan Magomedov

Blue Corner

+160

(38%)

Vegas Odds

-170

(63%)

1359

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'3"

195.58 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Viktor PestaL3 streak

oldest →

vs Konstantin Erokhin · Jan 15

KOvs Derrick Lewis · Oct 15

KOvs Marcin Tybura · Aug 16

SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Jan 17

latest

Ruslan MagomedovW2 streak

oldest →

vs Josh Copeland · Nov 14

vs Shawn Jordan · Oct 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Viktor PestaMetricRuslan Magomedov

1.58

Strikes / min

4.02

2.54

Strikes absorbed / min

1.47

56%

Strike defense

66%

3.29

TDs / 15 min

0.33

100%

Takedown defense

88%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.96Δ 3.51 — meaningful gap+2.55

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Viktor Pesta(5 fights)Ruslan Magomedov(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -131.4|Blue +131.4

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Viktor PestaTargetRuslan Magomedov

By target zone

26% acc · 77%

Head

35% acc · 77%

86% acc · 23%

Body

83% acc · 11%

Leg

75% acc · 13%

By position

22% acc · 54%

Distance

39% acc · 96%

64% acc · 27%

Clinch

50% acc · 2%

63% acc · 19%

Ground

100% acc · 2%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Viktor Pesta rounds

even

Ruslan Magomedov rounds

Round 1Viktor Pesta edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control2:31

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

Round 2Ruslan Magomedov edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns1

Control0:31

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Ruslan Magomedov edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:07

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

26 / 84

Sig Strikes

47 / 117

30.7%

Sig Str %

39.7%

46 / 120

Total Strikes

51 / 121

1 / 9

TDs

0 / 0

16.7%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:09

Ctrl Time

0:05

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ruslan Magomedov	12 / 33	14 / 35	0 / 0
1	Viktor Pesta	14 / 35	34 / 71	0 / 2
2	Ruslan Magomedov	16 / 40	17 / 41	0 / 0
2	Viktor Pesta	5 / 29	5 / 29	1 / 2
3	Ruslan Magomedov	19 / 44	20 / 45	0 / 0
3	Viktor Pesta	7 / 20	7 / 20	0 / 5

Viktor Pesta

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights5

Ruslan Magomedov

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights3