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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Viktor Pesta won · U-DEC R3

Elo1359

Elo1356

Viktor PestavsKonstantin ErokhinUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · Saturday, January 24, 2015Stockholm, Sweden

Official fight result

Viktor Pesta won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Viktor Pesta wins(54.7%)

Actual result: Viktor Pesta wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Viktor Pesta at +380 American odds

+$380 profit

$480 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Viktor Pesta enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Viktor Pesta has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Viktor Pesta has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Viktor Pesta

Red Corner

Konstantin Erokhin

Blue Corner

+380

(21%)

Vegas Odds

-430

(81%)

1359

Elo

1356

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

5'11"

195.58 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Viktor PestaL4 streak

oldest →

vs Ruslan Magomedov · May 14

KOvs Derrick Lewis · Oct 15

KOvs Marcin Tybura · Aug 16

SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Jan 17

latest

Konstantin Erokhin

oldest →

vs Gabriel Gonzaga · Dec 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Viktor PestaMetricKonstantin Erokhin

1.58

Strikes / min

1.07

2.54

Strikes absorbed / min

1.83

56%

Strike defense

47%

3.29

TDs / 15 min

0.00

100%

Takedown defense

70%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.96evenly matched on net striking-0.76

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Viktor PestaKonstantin Erokhin

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Viktor Pesta(5 fights)Konstantin Erokhin(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +3.2|Blue -3.2

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Viktor PestaTargetKonstantin Erokhin

By target zone

53% acc · 71%

Head

39% acc · 65%

83% acc · 14%

Body

67% acc · 24%

83% acc · 14%

Leg

100% acc · 12%

By position

38% acc · 29%

Distance

41% acc · 71%

50% acc · 9%

Clinch

71% acc · 29%

81% acc · 63%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Viktor Pesta rounds

even

Konstantin Erokhin rounds

Round 1Viktor Pesta edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns2

Control2:58

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Viktor Pesta edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns1

Control2:33

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Viktor Pesta edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns1

Control3:36

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

35 / 59

Sig Strikes

17 / 36

61.7%

Sig Str %

49%

124 / 161

Total Strikes

23 / 43

4 / 13

TDs

0 / 0

30.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

9:07

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Konstantin Erokhin	13 / 27	16 / 30	0 / 0
1	Viktor Pesta	8 / 20	23 / 38	2 / 6
2	Konstantin Erokhin	2 / 6	4 / 8	0 / 0
2	Viktor Pesta	18 / 28	52 / 69	1 / 4
3	Konstantin Erokhin	2 / 3	3 / 5	0 / 0
3	Viktor Pesta	9 / 11	49 / 54	1 / 3

Viktor Pesta

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights5

Konstantin Erokhin

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach—

Fights2