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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Chris Clements won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1355
Vik Grujic
Elo1490
Chris Clements

Vik GrujicvsChris ClementsUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · Friday, November 7, 2014Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Official fight result

Chris Clements won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:06

Model Prediction: Chris Clements wins(56.2%)

Actual result: Chris Clements wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chris Clements at -105 American odds

+$95 profit

$195 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Vik Grujic is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Chris Clements has lost 50% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Vik Grujic
Red Corner
VS
Chris Clements
Blue Corner
-105
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
1355
Elo
1490
49
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Vik Grujic
oldest →
L
vs Nordine Taleb · Apr 14
W
KOvs Chris Indich · Jun 14
L
vs Brendan O'Reilly · May 15
latest
Chris ClementsL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Keith Wisniewski · Apr 12
L
KOvs Stephen Thompson · Sep 13
L
vs Nordine Taleb · Apr 15
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Vik GrujicMetricChris Clements
2.24
Strikes / min
3.20
3.39
Strikes absorbed / min
2.37
41%
Strike defense
44%
1.18
TDs / 15 min
0.00
26%
Takedown defense
32%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.15Δ 1.98 — meaningful gap+0.83

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1499Strikes9.5 vs 41.0Takedowns0.5 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form0.1 vs -0.6
Vik GrujicChris Clements

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Vik Grujic(4 fights)Chris Clements(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -135.7|Blue +135.7
Recent Form
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score
Red -1.6|Blue +1.6
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -280.0|Blue +280.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Vik GrujicTargetChris Clements

By target zone

7
88% acc · 100%
Head
14
88% acc · 56%
0
Body
9
100% acc · 36%
0
Leg
2
100% acc · 8%

By position

4
80% acc · 57%
Distance
10
83% acc · 40%
3
100% acc · 43%
Clinch
15
100% acc · 60%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Vik Grujic rounds
0
even
1
Chris Clements rounds
Round 1Chris Clements edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control1:55
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:32Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
7 / 8
Sig Strikes
25 / 27
87%
Sig Str %
92%
27 / 28
Total Strikes
26 / 28
1 / 2
TDs
0 / 0
50%
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:55
Ctrl Time
0:32

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Chris Clements25 / 2726 / 280 / 00
1Vik Grujic7 / 827 / 281 / 20

Vik Grujic

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4

Chris Clements

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4