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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Manon Fiorot won · KO/TKO

Elo1489

Elo1522

Victoria LeonardovsManon FiorotUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · Wednesday, January 20, 2021Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Manon Fiorot won

KO/TKO

Style matchupVictoria Leonardo: Well-roundedvsManon Fiorot: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Victoria Leonardo wins(85.8%)

Actual result: Manon Fiorot wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Victoria Leonardo at +170 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Manon Fiorot has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Manon Fiorot has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Victoria Leonardo

Red Corner

Manon Fiorot

Blue Corner

+170

(37%)

Vegas Odds

-215

(68%)

1489

Elo

1522

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'7"

162.56 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Victoria LeonardoL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Melissa Gatto · Aug 21

vs Mandy Bohm · Jul 22

KOvs Natalia Silva · May 23

KOvs Wang Cong · Aug 24

latest

Manon Fiorot

oldest →

vs Katlyn Chookagian · Oct 22

vs Rose Namajunas · Sep 23

vs Erin Blanchfield · Mar 24

vs Valentina Shevchenko · May 25

KOvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Oct 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Victoria LeonardoMetricManon Fiorot

3.22

Strikes / min

5.66

4.81

Strikes absorbed / min

3.58

47%

Strike defense

66%

1.57

TDs / 15 min

1.05

71%

Takedown defense

87%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.59Δ 3.67 — meaningful gap+2.08

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Victoria LeonardoManon Fiorot

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Victoria Leonardo(5 fights)Manon Fiorot(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -33.5|Blue +33.5

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Victoria LeonardoTargetManon Fiorot

By target zone

12% acc · 41%

Head

43% acc · 58%

27% acc · 18%

Body

74% acc · 26%

64% acc · 41%

Leg

89% acc · 15%

By position

20% acc · 88%

Distance

51% acc · 79%

40% acc · 12%

Clinch

67% acc · 19%

Ground

33% acc · 2%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Victoria Leonardo rounds

even

Manon Fiorot rounds

Round 1Manon Fiorot edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:02

32Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:32Control

Round 2Manon Fiorot edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:00

21Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:53Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

17 / 81

Sig Strikes

53 / 100

21%

Sig Str %

52%

18 / 82

Total Strikes

58 / 105

0 / 1

TDs

1 / 1

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:02

Ctrl Time

1:25

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Manon Fiorot	32 / 55	33 / 56	0 / 0
1	Victoria Leonardo	10 / 51	11 / 52	0 / 0
2	Manon Fiorot	21 / 45	25 / 49	1 / 1
2	Victoria Leonardo	7 / 30	7 / 30	0 / 1

Victoria Leonardo

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights5

Manon Fiorot

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights9