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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Vicente Luque won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1504

Elo1492

Vicente LuquevsDerrick KrantzUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · Saturday, May 18, 2019Rochester, New York, USA

Official fight result

Vicente Luque won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:52

Style matchupVicente Luque: Pressure fightervsDerrick Krantz: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Vicente Luque wins(77.4%)

Actual result: Vicente Luque wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Vicente Luque at -1100 American odds

+$9 profit

$109 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Vicente Luque has 59pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Vicente Luque

Red Corner

Derrick Krantz

Blue Corner

-1100

(92%)

Vegas Odds

+700

(13%)

1504

Elo

1492

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'10"

190.5 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Vicente Luque

oldest →

KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Mar 24

SUBvs Themba Gorimbo · Dec 24

SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jun 25

vs Joel Alvarez · Oct 25

SUBvs Kelvin Gastelum · Apr 26

latest

Derrick KrantzNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Vicente LuqueMetricDerrick Krantz

4.80

Strikes / min

2.07

5.24

Strikes absorbed / min

4.03

51%

Strike defense

50%

0.89

TDs / 15 min

3.18

59%

Takedown defense

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.44Δ 1.52 — meaningful gap-1.96

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Vicente LuqueDerrick Krantz

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Vicente Luque(10 fights)Derrick Krantz(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +12.8|Blue -12.8

Recent Form

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Striker Score

Red -48.6|Blue +48.6

Grappler Score

Red -49.8|Blue +49.8

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Vicente LuqueTargetDerrick Krantz

By target zone

70% acc · 78%

Head

31% acc · 83%

50% acc · 6%

Body

50% acc · 17%

100% acc · 17%

Leg

By position

59% acc · 56%

Distance

29% acc · 83%

100% acc · 6%

Clinch

100% acc · 39%

Ground

100% acc · 17%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Vicente Luque rounds

even

Derrick Krantz rounds

Round 1Vicente Luque edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:36

Knockdowns1

6Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:36Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

18 / 25

Sig Strikes

6 / 18

72%

Sig Str %

33%

18 / 25

Total Strikes

9 / 23

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 2

—

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:36

Ctrl Time

1:36

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Derrick Krantz	6 / 18	9 / 23	1 / 2	0
1	Vicente Luque	18 / 25	18 / 25	0 / 0	0

Vicente Luque

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights23

Derrick Krantz

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights1