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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Vicente Luque won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1504

Elo1369

Vicente LuquevsChad LapriseUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · Saturday, May 19, 2018Santiago, Chile

Official fight result

Vicente Luque won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:16

Style matchupVicente Luque: Pressure fightervsChad Laprise: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Chad Laprise wins(59.5%)

Actual result: Vicente Luque wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chad Laprise at +195 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Vicente Luque is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Chad Laprise has lost 75% of fights by KO.
Chad Laprise has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Chad Laprise has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Vicente Luque has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Vicente Luque

Red Corner

Chad Laprise

Blue Corner

-235

(70%)

Vegas Odds

+195

(34%)

1504

Elo

1369

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'10"

190.5 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Vicente Luque

oldest →

KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Mar 24

SUBvs Themba Gorimbo · Dec 24

SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jun 25

vs Joel Alvarez · Oct 25

SUBvs Kelvin Gastelum · Apr 26

latest

Chad Laprise

oldest →

vs Ross Pearson · Mar 16

KOvs Thibault Gouti · Aug 16

KOvs Brian Camozzi · Jul 17

KOvs Galore Bofando · Dec 17

KOvs Dhiego Lima · Dec 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Vicente LuqueMetricChad Laprise

4.80

Strikes / min

4.78

5.24

Strikes absorbed / min

3.59

51%

Strike defense

65%

0.89

TDs / 15 min

1.05

59%

Takedown defense

78%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.44Δ 1.63 — meaningful gap+1.19

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Vicente LuqueChad Laprise

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Vicente Luque(10 fights)Chad Laprise(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +135.1|Blue -135.1

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red -1.9|Blue +1.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +49.0|Blue -49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Vicente LuqueTargetChad Laprise

By target zone

35% acc · 64%

Head

29% acc · 46%

33% acc · 7%

Body

100% acc · 23%

67% acc · 29%

Leg

80% acc · 31%

By position

33% acc · 71%

Distance

36% acc · 69%

100% acc · 7%

Clinch

100% acc · 31%

75% acc · 21%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Vicente Luque rounds

even

Chad Laprise rounds

Round 1Vicente Luque edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns1

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:51Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

14 / 35

Sig Strikes

13 / 29

40%

Sig Str %

44%

14 / 35

Total Strikes

14 / 30

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:51

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Chad Laprise	13 / 29	14 / 30	0 / 1	0
1	Vicente Luque	14 / 35	14 / 35	0 / 0	0

Vicente Luque

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights23

Chad Laprise

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights10