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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Matheus Camilo won · U-DEC R3

Elo1471

Elo1534

Viacheslav BorshchevvsMatheus CamiloUFC Prediction Result

UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · Saturday, November 15, 2025New York City, New York, USA

Official fight result

Matheus Camilo won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupViacheslav Borshchev: Pressure fightervsMatheus Camilo: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Matheus Camilo wins(62.4%)

Actual result: Matheus Camilo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Matheus Camilo at -174 American odds

+$57 profit

$157 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Viacheslav Borshchev has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Viacheslav Borshchev

Red Corner

Matheus Camilo

Blue Corner

+146

(41%)

Vegas Odds

-174

(64%)

1471

Elo

1534

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'10"

175.26 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Viacheslav BorshchevL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Maheshate · May 23

SUBvs Chase Hooper · May 24

vs James Llontop · Aug 24

vs Tom Nolan · Feb 25

SUBvs Terrance McKinney · Jun 25

latest

Matheus Camilo

oldest →

SUBvs Gabe Green · May 25

KOvs Nazim Sadykhov · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Viacheslav BorshchevMetricMatheus Camilo

5.10

Strikes / min

2.19

4.46

Strikes absorbed / min

3.25

57%

Strike defense

64%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

4.43

43%

Takedown defense

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.64Δ 1.70 — meaningful gap-1.06

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Viacheslav BorshchevMatheus Camilo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Viacheslav Borshchev(9 fights)Matheus Camilo(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -63.0|Blue +63.0

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Layoff

Red -42.0|Blue +42.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Viacheslav BorshchevTargetMatheus Camilo

By target zone

27% acc · 62%

Head

34% acc · 69%

64% acc · 25%

Body

100% acc · 15%

69% acc · 14%

Leg

75% acc · 15%

By position

34% acc · 98%

Distance

41% acc · 95%

50% acc · 2%

Clinch

50% acc · 3%

Ground

100% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Viacheslav Borshchev rounds

even

Matheus Camilo rounds

Round 1Matheus Camilo edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:00

12Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

0:47Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:00

10Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:22Control

Round 3Viacheslav Borshchev edged it

Sig. strikes37

Takedowns0

Control0:24

17Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:13Control

Fight Stats

Totals

65 / 188

Sig Strikes

39 / 93

32.7%

Sig Str %

42%

78 / 201

Total Strikes

48 / 104

0 / 0

TDs

5 / 10

—

TD %

49.7%

Sub Att

Rev

0:24

Ctrl Time

3:22

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Matheus Camilo	12 / 30	17 / 35	2 / 3
1	Viacheslav Borshchev	9 / 41	11 / 43	0 / 0
2	Matheus Camilo	10 / 22	14 / 28	2 / 4
2	Viacheslav Borshchev	19 / 46	26 / 53	0 / 0
3	Matheus Camilo	17 / 41	17 / 41	1 / 3
3	Viacheslav Borshchev	37 / 101	41 / 105	0 / 0

Viacheslav Borshchev

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights9

Matheus Camilo

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights3