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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Viacheslav Borshchev won · S-DEC R3
Elo1471
Elo1476
James Llontop

Viacheslav BorshchevvsJames LlontopUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · Saturday, August 24, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Viacheslav Borshchev won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupViacheslav Borshchev: Pressure fightervsJames Llontop: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Viacheslav Borshchev wins(62.8%)

Actual result: Viacheslav Borshchev wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Viacheslav Borshchev at -258 American odds

+$39 profit

$139 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Viacheslav Borshchev enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
  • James Llontop has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Viacheslav Borshchev
Red Corner
VS
James Llontop
Blue Corner
-258
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+210
(32%)
1471
Elo
1476
34
Age
26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'0"
175.26 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Viacheslav BorshchevL4 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Maheshate · May 23
L
SUBvs Chase Hooper · May 24
L
vs Tom Nolan · Feb 25
L
SUBvs Terrance McKinney · Jun 25
L
vs Matheus Camilo · Nov 25
latest
James LlontopL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Chris Padilla · Apr 24
L
vs Mauricio Ruffy · Nov 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Viacheslav BorshchevMetricJames Llontop
5.10
Strikes / min
5.57
4.46
Strikes absorbed / min
4.12
57%
Strike defense
57%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.00
43%
Takedown defense
54%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.64evenly matched on net striking+1.45

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1482 vs 1482Strikes5.4 vs 5.4Takedowns0.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-0.5 vs -1.0
Viacheslav BorshchevJames Llontop

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601475149015051520← oldermost recent →
Viacheslav Borshchev(9 fights)James Llontop(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -4.9|Blue +4.9
Recent Form
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Viacheslav BorshchevTargetJames Llontop

By target zone

49
28% acc · 51%
Head
40
24% acc · 43%
30
79% acc · 31%
Body
27
61% acc · 29%
17
89% acc · 18%
Leg
26
70% acc · 28%

By position

92
41% acc · 96%
Distance
91
37% acc · 98%
3
75% acc · 3%
Clinch
1
25% acc · 1%
1
50% acc · 1%
Ground
1
100% acc · 1%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Viacheslav Borshchev rounds
1
even
1
James Llontop rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control0:00
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Round 2Viacheslav Borshchev edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns0
Control0:03
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3James Llontop edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:00
42Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
96 / 229
Sig Strikes
93 / 249
41.3%
Sig Str %
37%
97 / 230
Total Strikes
97 / 253
0 / 1
TDs
0 / 0
0%
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:03
Ctrl Time
0:05

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1James Llontop26 / 6326 / 630 / 00
1Viacheslav Borshchev26 / 6127 / 620 / 00
2James Llontop25 / 7725 / 770 / 00
2Viacheslav Borshchev37 / 8537 / 850 / 00
3James Llontop42 / 10946 / 1130 / 00
3Viacheslav Borshchev33 / 8333 / 830 / 10

Viacheslav Borshchev

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights9

James Llontop

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights3