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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Veronica Macedo won · SUB R1

Elo1492

Elo1460

Veronica MacedovsPolyana VianaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · Saturday, August 10, 2019Montevideo, Uruguay

Official fight result

Veronica Macedo won

SUB · Round 1 · 1:09

Model Prediction: Polyana Viana wins(69.0%)

Actual result: Veronica Macedo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Polyana Viana at +110 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Veronica Macedo enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Polyana Viana enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Veronica Macedo threatens submissions; Polyana Viana has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Stance matchup historically favors Veronica Macedo (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Veronica Macedo

Red Corner

Polyana Viana

Blue Corner

-130

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+110

(48%)

1492

Elo

1460

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'5"

162.56 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Veronica MacedoL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Ashlee Evans-Smith · Sep 16

vs Andrea Lee · May 18

SUBvs Gillian Robertson · Feb 19

vs Bea Malecki · Mar 20

latest

Polyana VianaL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Jinh Yu Frey · Nov 22

SUBvs Iasmin Lucindo · Aug 23

KOvs Gillian Robertson · Jan 24

SUBvs Jaqueline Amorim · Apr 25

SUBvs Alice Ardelean · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Veronica MacedoMetricPolyana Viana

—

Strikes / min

2.74

—

Strikes absorbed / min

2.50

—

Strike defense

53%

—

TDs / 15 min

0.75

—

Takedown defense

35%

—

Sub atts / 15 min

1.70

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Veronica MacedoPolyana Viana

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Veronica Macedo(5 fights)Polyana Viana(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +31.9|Blue -31.9

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red +7.0|Blue -7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Veronica Macedo

StanceSouthpaw

Height64.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights4

Polyana Viana

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights11