Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Veronica Hardy won · S-DEC R3

Elo1520

Elo1513

Veronica HardyvsJamey-Lyn HorthUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · Saturday, December 2, 2023Austin, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Veronica Hardy won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Veronica Hardy wins(61.5%)

Actual result: Veronica Hardy wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jamey-Lyn Horth has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Jamey-Lyn Horth has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Veronica Hardy (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Veronica Hardy

Red Corner

Jamey-Lyn Horth

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1520

Elo

1513

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'7"

162.56 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Veronica Hardy

oldest →

vs Juliana Miller · Mar 23

vs JJ Aldrich · May 24

vs Eduarda Moura · Nov 24

vs Brogan Walker · Oct 25

latest

Jamey-Lyn Horth

oldest →

vs Ivana Petrovic · Nov 24

vs Miranda Maverick · Dec 24

vs Vanessa Demopoulos · Jun 25

KOvs Tereza Bleda · Dec 25

DECvs JJ Aldrich · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Veronica HardyMetricJamey-Lyn Horth

3.06

Strikes / min

3.80

3.24

Strikes absorbed / min

2.64

50%

Strike defense

63%

0.82

TDs / 15 min

0.98

51%

Takedown defense

80%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.18Δ 1.34 — meaningful gap+1.16

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Veronica HardyJamey-Lyn Horth

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Veronica Hardy(5 fights)Jamey-Lyn Horth(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +6.6|Blue -6.6

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +42.0|Blue -42.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Veronica HardyTargetJamey-Lyn Horth

By target zone

34% acc · 67%

Head

33% acc · 37%

100% acc · 26%

Body

77% acc · 47%

75% acc · 7%

Leg

58% acc · 16%

By position

37% acc · 70%

Distance

39% acc · 53%

65% acc · 30%

Clinch

71% acc · 47%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Veronica Hardy rounds

even

Jamey-Lyn Horth rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:13

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Veronica Hardy edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control0:51

7Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:43Control

Round 3Jamey-Lyn Horth edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:30

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:16Control

Fight Stats

Totals

43 / 101

Sig Strikes

43 / 87

41.7%

Sig Str %

47.3%

61 / 122

Total Strikes

74 / 125

1 / 2

TDs

1 / 3

50%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

1:34

Ctrl Time

3:59

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jamey-Lyn Horth	16 / 34	16 / 34	0 / 0
1	Veronica Hardy	17 / 37	17 / 37	0 / 0
2	Jamey-Lyn Horth	7 / 21	23 / 40	1 / 1
2	Veronica Hardy	13 / 33	19 / 40	1 / 2
3	Jamey-Lyn Horth	20 / 32	35 / 51	0 / 2
3	Veronica Hardy	13 / 31	25 / 45	0 / 0

Veronica Hardy

StanceSouthpaw

Height64.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights5

Jamey-Lyn Horth

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights6