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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Eduarda Moura won · U-DEC R3

Elo1520

Elo1503

Veronica HardyvsEduarda MouraUFC Prediction Result

UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · Saturday, November 16, 2024New York City, New York, USA

Official fight result

Eduarda Moura won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Eduarda Moura wins(55.1%)

Actual result: Eduarda Moura wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Veronica Hardy enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Eduarda Moura has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Veronica Hardy (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Veronica Hardy

Red Corner

Eduarda Moura

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1520

Elo

1503

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'6"

162.56 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Veronica HardyW4 streak

oldest →

vs Juliana Miller · Mar 23

vs Jamey-Lyn Horth · Dec 23

vs JJ Aldrich · May 24

vs Brogan Walker · Oct 25

latest

Eduarda Moura

oldest →

KOvs Montserrat Conejo Ruiz · Nov 23

vs Denise Gomes · Jun 24

vs Lauren Murphy · Jul 25

vs Wang Cong · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Veronica HardyMetricEduarda Moura

3.06

Strikes / min

2.57

3.24

Strikes absorbed / min

2.50

50%

Strike defense

58%

0.82

TDs / 15 min

3.58

51%

Takedown defense

80%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.18evenly matched on net striking+0.07

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Veronica HardyEduarda Moura

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Veronica Hardy(5 fights)Eduarda Moura(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +17.4|Blue -17.4

Recent Form

Red +1.3|Blue -1.3

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red +28.0|Blue -28.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Veronica HardyTargetEduarda Moura

By target zone

26% acc · 35%

Head

31% acc · 85%

62% acc · 35%

Body

80% acc · 15%

88% acc · 30%

Leg

By position

41% acc · 85%

Distance

28% acc · 73%

0% acc

Clinch

100% acc · 8%

88% acc · 15%

Ground

83% acc · 19%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Veronica Hardy rounds

even

Eduarda Moura rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:00

10Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:11Control

Round 2Eduarda Moura edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:00

7Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

4:02Control

Round 3Veronica Hardy edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:00

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

46 / 103

Sig Strikes

26 / 76

48%

Sig Str %

37.7%

61 / 119

Total Strikes

41 / 96

0 / 0

TDs

3 / 4

—

TD %

83%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

4:13

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Eduarda Moura	10 / 35	11 / 37	1 / 1
1	Veronica Hardy	13 / 39	13 / 39	0 / 0
2	Eduarda Moura	7 / 13	21 / 31	2 / 3
2	Veronica Hardy	12 / 18	27 / 34	0 / 0
3	Eduarda Moura	9 / 28	9 / 28	0 / 0
3	Veronica Hardy	21 / 46	21 / 46	0 / 0

Veronica Hardy

StanceSouthpaw

Height64.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights5

Eduarda Moura

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights5