← All fights/Event page

Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Vanessa Demopoulos won · S-DEC R3

Elo1487

Elo1477

Vanessa DemopoulosvsJinh Yu FreyUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · Saturday, June 25, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Vanessa Demopoulos won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Vanessa Demopoulos wins(65.6%)

Actual result: Vanessa Demopoulos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Vanessa Demopoulos at +200 American odds

+$200 profit

$300 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Vanessa Demopoulos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Jinh Yu Frey enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Jinh Yu Frey has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Jinh Yu Frey has 64pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Jinh Yu Frey (53.5%).
Jinh Yu Frey has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Vanessa Demopoulos

Red Corner

Jinh Yu Frey

Blue Corner

+200

(33%)

Vegas Odds

-240

(71%)

1487

Elo

1477

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'2"

Height

5'3"

149.86 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Vanessa DemopoulosL3 streak

oldest →

vs Kanako Murata · Oct 23

vs Emily Ducote · May 24

SUBvs Jaqueline Amorim · Sep 24

vs Talita Alencar · Apr 25

vs Jamey-Lyn Horth · Jun 25

latest

Jinh Yu FreyL3 streak

oldest →

vs Gloria de Paula · Mar 21

vs Ashley Yoder · Jul 21

KOvs Polyana Viana · Nov 22

vs Elise Reed · Jun 23

vs Viktoriia Dudakova · Oct 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Vanessa DemopoulosMetricJinh Yu Frey

3.37

Strikes / min

2.97

5.39

Strikes absorbed / min

4.23

41%

Strike defense

52%

0.32

TDs / 15 min

1.02

26%

Takedown defense

90%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.02evenly matched on net striking-1.26

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Vanessa DemopoulosJinh Yu Frey

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Vanessa Demopoulos(10 fights)Jinh Yu Frey(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +10.2|Blue -10.2

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -175.0|Blue +175.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Vanessa DemopoulosTargetJinh Yu Frey

By target zone

34% acc · 52%

Head

42% acc · 79%

81% acc · 38%

Body

73% acc · 13%

88% acc · 11%

Leg

83% acc · 8%

By position

37% acc · 61%

Distance

45% acc · 94%

81% acc · 39%

Clinch

80% acc · 6%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Vanessa Demopoulos rounds

even

Jinh Yu Frey rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns1

Control0:35

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Jinh Yu Frey edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:31

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 3Vanessa Demopoulos edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns0

Control3:08

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:09Control

Fight Stats

Totals

66 / 139

Sig Strikes

62 / 133

45.3%

Sig Str %

47%

71 / 144

Total Strikes

81 / 153

1 / 7

TDs

0 / 1

33.3%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

4:14

Ctrl Time

0:11

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jinh Yu Frey	17 / 45	18 / 46	0 / 1
1	Vanessa Demopoulos	11 / 32	11 / 32	1 / 1
2	Jinh Yu Frey	27 / 56	30 / 59	0 / 0
2	Vanessa Demopoulos	24 / 52	25 / 53	0 / 4
3	Jinh Yu Frey	18 / 32	33 / 48	0 / 0
3	Vanessa Demopoulos	31 / 55	35 / 59	0 / 2

Vanessa Demopoulos

StanceOrthodox

Height62.0"

Reach59.0"

Fights10

Jinh Yu Frey

StanceSouthpaw

Height63.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights8