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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Viviane Pereira won · S-DEC R3

Elo1359

Elo1366

Valerie LetourneauvsViviane PereiraUFC Prediction Result

UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · Saturday, December 10, 2016Toronto, Ontario, Canada

Official fight result

Viviane Pereira won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Valerie Letourneau wins(73.4%)

Actual result: Viviane Pereira wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Valerie Letourneau at -120 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Valerie Letourneau has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Valerie Letourneau has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Valerie Letourneau

Red Corner

Viviane Pereira

Blue Corner

-120

(55%)

Vegas Odds

+100

(50%)

1359

Elo

1366

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'1"

172.72 cm

Reach

160.02 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Valerie LetourneauL2 streak

oldest →

vs Elizabeth Phillips · Jun 14

vs Jessica Rakoczy · Apr 15

vs Maryna Moroz · Aug 15

vs Joanna Jedrzejczyk · Nov 15

KOvs Joanne Calderwood · Jun 16

latest

Viviane PereiraL2 streak

oldest →

vs Jamie Moyle · Jun 17

vs Tatiana Suarez · Nov 17

DECvs Yan Xiaonan · Jun 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Valerie LetourneauMetricViviane Pereira

4.51

Strikes / min

2.70

5.40

Strikes absorbed / min

4.48

58%

Strike defense

58%

0.77

TDs / 15 min

0.25

66%

Takedown defense

28%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.89evenly matched on net striking-1.78

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Valerie LetourneauViviane Pereira

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Valerie Letourneau(6 fights)Viviane Pereira(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -7.4|Blue +7.4

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red -46.0|Blue +46.0

Grappler Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Valerie LetourneauTargetViviane Pereira

By target zone

23% acc · 64%

Head

16% acc · 48%

71% acc · 32%

Body

38% acc · 24%

67% acc · 4%

Leg

88% acc · 28%

By position

24% acc · 66%

Distance

22% acc · 80%

58% acc · 15%

Clinch

67% acc · 16%

82% acc · 19%

Ground

50% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Valerie Letourneau rounds

even

Viviane Pereira rounds

Round 1Valerie Letourneau edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns1

Control1:46

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:31Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:00

4Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:28Control

Round 3Valerie Letourneau edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:46Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

47 / 153

Sig Strikes

25 / 97

32.7%

Sig Str %

25.3%

69 / 175

Total Strikes

42 / 122

1 / 1

TDs

1 / 1

100%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

1:46

Ctrl Time

3:45

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Viviane Pereira	3 / 9	9 / 18	0 / 0
1	Valerie Letourneau	16 / 32	32 / 48	1 / 1
2	Viviane Pereira	4 / 27	11 / 38	1 / 1
2	Valerie Letourneau	9 / 52	14 / 57	0 / 0
3	Viviane Pereira	18 / 61	22 / 66	0 / 0
3	Valerie Letourneau	22 / 69	23 / 70	0 / 0

Valerie Letourneau

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights6

Viviane Pereira

StanceOrthodox

Height61.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights4