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Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Joanne Calderwood won · KO/TKO R3
Elo1359
Elo1493
Joanne Calderwood

Valerie LetourneauvsJoanne CalderwoodUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · Saturday, June 18, 2016Ottawa, Ontario, Canada

Official fight result

Joanne Calderwood won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 2:44

Model Prediction: Valerie Letourneau wins(71.9%)

Actual result: Joanne Calderwood wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Valerie Letourneau at -150 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Valerie Letourneau
Red Corner
VS
Joanne Calderwood
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
1359
Elo
1493
43
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
172.72 cm
Reach
165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Valerie LetourneauL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Elizabeth Phillips · Jun 14
W
vs Jessica Rakoczy · Apr 15
W
vs Maryna Moroz · Aug 15
L
vs Joanna Jedrzejczyk · Nov 15
L
vs Viviane Pereira · Dec 16
latest
Joanne Calderwood
oldest →
L
vs Katlyn Chookagian · Jun 19
W
vs Andrea Lee · Sep 19
L
SUBvs Jennifer Maia · Aug 20
W
vs Jessica Eye · Jan 21
L
vs Lauren Murphy · Jun 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Valerie LetourneauMetricJoanne Calderwood
4.51
Strikes / min
—
5.40
Strikes absorbed / min
—
58%
Strike defense
—
0.77
TDs / 15 min
—
66%
Takedown defense
—
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1531 vs 1515Strikes78.5 vs 70.0Takedowns1.0 vs 1.7Sub Atts0.50 vs 0.00Form0.3 vs 0.3
Valerie LetourneauJoanne Calderwood

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Valerie Letourneau(6 fights)Joanne Calderwood(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -134.8|Blue +134.8
Recent Form
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red -119.0|Blue +119.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Valerie Letourneau

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights6

Joanne Calderwood

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights1