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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Valerie Letourneau won · S-DEC R3

Elo1359

Elo1491

Valerie LetourneauvsElizabeth PhillipsUFC Prediction Result

UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · Saturday, June 14, 2014Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

Official fight result

Valerie Letourneau won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Valerie Letourneau wins(52.5%)

Actual result: Valerie Letourneau wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Valerie Letourneau at +125 American odds

+$125 profit

$225 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Valerie Letourneau enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Valerie Letourneau

Red Corner

Elizabeth Phillips

Blue Corner

+125

(44%)

Vegas Odds

-135

(57%)

1359

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'6"

172.72 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Valerie LetourneauL3 streak

oldest →

vs Jessica Rakoczy · Apr 15

vs Maryna Moroz · Aug 15

vs Joanna Jedrzejczyk · Nov 15

KOvs Joanne Calderwood · Jun 16

vs Viviane Pereira · Dec 16

latest

Elizabeth Phillips

oldest →

vs Milana Dudieva · Aug 14

vs Jessamyn Duke · Jul 15

vs Raquel Pennington · Aug 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Valerie LetourneauMetricElizabeth Phillips

4.51

Strikes / min

2.60

5.40

Strikes absorbed / min

3.07

58%

Strike defense

58%

0.77

TDs / 15 min

0.75

66%

Takedown defense

53%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.89evenly matched on net striking-0.47

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Valerie Letourneau(6 fights)Elizabeth Phillips(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -131.9|Blue +131.9

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Valerie LetourneauTargetElizabeth Phillips

By target zone

35% acc · 82%

Head

23% acc · 85%

68% acc · 16%

Body

35% acc · 9%

50% acc · 2%

Leg

100% acc · 6%

By position

38% acc · 90%

Distance

25% acc · 96%

37% acc · 10%

Clinch

19% acc · 4%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Valerie Letourneau rounds

even

Elizabeth Phillips rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns0

Control0:00

28Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:18Control

Round 2Valerie Letourneau edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns0

Control0:01

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:46Control

Round 3Valerie Letourneau edged it

Sig. strikes45

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:01Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

104 / 275

Sig Strikes

67 / 270

37.3%

Sig Str %

24%

106 / 278

Total Strikes

69 / 272

0 / 2

TDs

0 / 3

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:01

Ctrl Time

2:05

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Elizabeth Phillips	28 / 105	28 / 105	0 / 1
1	Valerie Letourneau	28 / 87	28 / 87	0 / 0
2	Elizabeth Phillips	21 / 89	23 / 91	0 / 1
2	Valerie Letourneau	31 / 88	32 / 89	0 / 1
3	Elizabeth Phillips	18 / 76	18 / 76	0 / 1
3	Valerie Letourneau	45 / 100	46 / 102	0 / 1

Valerie Letourneau

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights6

Elizabeth Phillips

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights4