← All fights/Event page

Women's Flyweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Valentina Shevchenko won · S-DEC R5

Elo1526

Elo1477

Valentina ShevchenkovsTaila SantosUFC Prediction Result

UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · Saturday, June 11, 2022Kallang, Singapore

Official fight result

Valentina Shevchenko won

S-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Style matchupValentina Shevchenko: WrestlervsTaila Santos: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Valentina Shevchenko wins(66.1%)

Actual result: Valentina Shevchenko wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Valentina Shevchenko at -630 American odds

+$16 profit

$116 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Valentina Shevchenko enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Valentina Shevchenko (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Valentina Shevchenko

Red Corner

Taila Santos

Blue Corner

-630

(86%)

Vegas Odds

+450

(18%)

1526

Elo

1477

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'6"

167.64 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Valentina ShevchenkoW3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Lauren Murphy · Sep 21

SUBvs Alexa Grasso · Mar 23

vs Alexa Grasso · Sep 24

vs Manon Fiorot · May 25

vs Zhang Weili · Nov 25

latest

Taila Santos

oldest →

vs Molly McCann · Jul 20

vs Gillian Robertson · Dec 20

vs Roxanne Modafferi · Sep 21

SUBvs Joanne Wood · Nov 21

vs Erin Blanchfield · Aug 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Valentina ShevchenkoMetricTaila Santos

3.04

Strikes / min

3.39

2.00

Strikes absorbed / min

2.64

63%

Strike defense

58%

2.65

TDs / 15 min

2.00

76%

Takedown defense

86%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

1.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.04evenly matched on net striking+0.75

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Valentina ShevchenkoTaila Santos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Valentina Shevchenko(10 fights)Taila Santos(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +49.6|Blue -49.6

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +1.4|Blue -1.4

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +56.0|Blue -56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Valentina ShevchenkoTargetTaila Santos

By target zone

46% acc · 60%

Head

31% acc · 33%

67% acc · 16%

Body

73% acc · 20%

90% acc · 25%

Leg

90% acc · 47%

By position

53% acc · 84%

Distance

51% acc · 82%

70% acc · 9%

Clinch

80% acc · 7%

83% acc · 6%

Ground

75% acc · 11%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Valentina Shevchenko rounds

even

Taila Santos rounds

Round 1Valentina Shevchenko edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control1:28

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:51Control

Round 2Taila Santos edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns1

Control0:09

4Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:40Control

Round 3Valentina Shevchenko edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:02

7Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:21Control

Round 4Taila Santos edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control0:00

28Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:17Control

Round 5Valentina Shevchenko edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns2

Control2:36

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:40Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

77 / 139

Sig Strikes

55 / 102

56.8%

Sig Str %

56.2%

234 / 309

Total Strikes

128 / 180

3 / 5

TDs

3 / 3

50%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

4:15

Ctrl Time

8:49

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Taila Santos	5 / 10	12 / 17	0 / 0	2
1	Valentina Shevchenko	10 / 16	35 / 44	0 / 1	0
2	Taila Santos	4 / 7	31 / 37	1 / 1	0
2	Valentina Shevchenko	7 / 19	64 / 81	1 / 1	1
3	Taila Santos	7 / 15	10 / 18	1 / 1	1
3	Valentina Shevchenko	17 / 22	46 / 54	0 / 1	0
4	Valentina Shevchenko	29 / 59	37 / 67	0 / 0	0
4	Taila Santos	28 / 56	33 / 62	1 / 1	0
5	Taila Santos	11 / 14	42 / 46	0 / 0	0
5	Valentina Shevchenko	14 / 23	52 / 63	2 / 2	0

Valentina Shevchenko

StanceSouthpaw

Height65.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights18

Taila Santos

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights7