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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Valentina Shevchenko won · SUB R2

Elo1526

Elo1459

Valentina ShevchenkovsPriscila CachoeiraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · Saturday, February 3, 2018Belem, Para, Brazil

Official fight result

Valentina Shevchenko won

SUB · Round 2 · 4:25

Style matchupValentina Shevchenko: WrestlervsPriscila Cachoeira: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Valentina Shevchenko wins(71.8%)

Actual result: Valentina Shevchenko wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Valentina Shevchenko at -1100 American odds

+$9 profit

$109 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Valentina Shevchenko enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Priscila Cachoeira enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Valentina Shevchenko has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Valentina Shevchenko (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Valentina Shevchenko

Red Corner

Priscila Cachoeira

Blue Corner

-1100

(92%)

Vegas Odds

+700

(13%)

1526

Elo

1459

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'7"

167.64 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Valentina ShevchenkoW3 streak

oldest →

vs Taila Santos · Jun 22

SUBvs Alexa Grasso · Mar 23

vs Alexa Grasso · Sep 24

vs Manon Fiorot · May 25

vs Zhang Weili · Nov 25

latest

Priscila CachoeiraL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Jan 24

KOvs Josiane Nunes · Mar 25

KOvs Joselyne Edwards · Aug 25

vs Klaudia Sygula · Feb 26

SUBvs Chelsea Chandler · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Valentina ShevchenkoMetricPriscila Cachoeira

3.04

Strikes / min

4.43

2.00

Strikes absorbed / min

7.60

63%

Strike defense

45%

2.65

TDs / 15 min

0.25

76%

Takedown defense

69%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.04Δ 4.21 — meaningful gap-3.17

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Valentina ShevchenkoPriscila Cachoeira

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Valentina Shevchenko(10 fights)Priscila Cachoeira(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +67.3|Blue -67.3

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -48.0|Blue +48.0

Grappler Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Valentina ShevchenkoTargetPriscila Cachoeira

By target zone

84% acc · 92%

Head

17% acc · 100%

89% acc · 8%

Body

0% acc

Leg

By position

55% acc · 12%

Distance

17% acc · 100%

Clinch

90% acc · 88%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Valentina Shevchenko rounds

even

Priscila Cachoeira rounds

Round 1Valentina Shevchenko edged it

Sig. strikes43

Takedowns1

Control4:20

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Valentina Shevchenko edged it

Sig. strikes52

Takedowns1

Control4:10

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

95 / 113

Sig Strikes

2 / 12

83.5%

Sig Str %

10%

230 / 254

Total Strikes

3 / 13

2 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

8:30

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Priscila Cachoeira	2 / 10	3 / 11	0 / 0	0
1	Valentina Shevchenko	43 / 55	95 / 108	1 / 1	0
2	Priscila Cachoeira	0 / 2	0 / 2	0 / 0	0
2	Valentina Shevchenko	52 / 58	135 / 146	1 / 1	2

Valentina Shevchenko

StanceSouthpaw

Height65.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights18

Priscila Cachoeira

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights14