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Women's Flyweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Valentina Shevchenko won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1526

Elo1428

Valentina ShevchenkovsJessica EyeUFC Prediction Result

UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · Saturday, June 8, 2019Chicago, Illinois, USA

Official fight result

Valentina Shevchenko won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 0:26

Style matchupValentina Shevchenko: WrestlervsJessica Eye: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Valentina Shevchenko wins(70.7%)

Actual result: Valentina Shevchenko wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Valentina Shevchenko at -1100 American odds

+$9 profit

$109 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Valentina Shevchenko enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jessica Eye enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Valentina Shevchenko has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Valentina Shevchenko (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Valentina Shevchenko

Red Corner

Jessica Eye

Blue Corner

-1100

(92%)

Vegas Odds

+700

(13%)

1526

Elo

1428

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'6"

167.64 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Valentina ShevchenkoW3 streak

oldest →

vs Taila Santos · Jun 22

SUBvs Alexa Grasso · Mar 23

vs Alexa Grasso · Sep 24

vs Manon Fiorot · May 25

vs Zhang Weili · Nov 25

latest

Jessica EyeL4 streak

oldest →

vs Viviane Araujo · Dec 19

vs Cynthia Calvillo · Jun 20

vs Joanne Calderwood · Jan 21

vs Jennifer Maia · Jul 21

vs Maycee Barber · Jul 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Valentina ShevchenkoMetricJessica Eye

3.04

Strikes / min

3.86

2.00

Strikes absorbed / min

4.19

63%

Strike defense

55%

2.65

TDs / 15 min

0.58

76%

Takedown defense

57%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.04Δ 1.37 — meaningful gap-0.33

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Valentina ShevchenkoJessica Eye

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Valentina Shevchenko(10 fights)Jessica Eye(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +98.0|Blue -98.0

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red -1.1|Blue +1.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Valentina ShevchenkoTargetJessica Eye

By target zone

80% acc · 50%

Head

0% acc

67% acc · 50%

Body

0% acc

Leg

67% acc · 100%

By position

63% acc · 63%

Distance

17% acc · 100%

100% acc · 25%

Clinch

100% acc · 13%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Valentina Shevchenko rounds

even

Jessica Eye rounds

Round 1Valentina Shevchenko edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns2

Control4:16

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 2Valentina Shevchenko edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:02

Knockdowns1

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

8 / 11

Sig Strikes

2 / 12

70.5%

Sig Str %

17%

37 / 40

Total Strikes

42 / 52

2 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

4:18

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jessica Eye	1 / 7	41 / 47	0 / 0	0
1	Valentina Shevchenko	6 / 8	35 / 37	2 / 2	1
2	Jessica Eye	1 / 5	1 / 5	0 / 0	0
2	Valentina Shevchenko	2 / 3	2 / 3	0 / 0	0

Valentina Shevchenko

StanceSouthpaw

Height65.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights18

Jessica Eye

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights15