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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Jalin Turner won · SUB R1
Elo1539
Uros Medic editorial illustration
Elo1507
Jalin Turner editorial illustration

Uros MedicvsJalin TurnerUFC Prediction Result

UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · Saturday, September 25, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jalin Turner won

SUB · Round 1 · 4:01

Style matchupUros Medic: StrikervsJalin Turner: Pressure fighter

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Jalin Turner wins(53.0%)

Actual result: Jalin Turner wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jalin Turner at -105 American odds

+$95 profit

$195 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Uros Medic enters on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Uros Medic has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Jalin Turner has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Jalin Turner has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Uros Medic
Red Corner
VS
Jalin Turner
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
1539
Elo
1507
33
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'3"
180.34 cm
Reach
195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Uros MedicW3 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Tim Means · Apr 24
L
KOvs Punahele Soriano · Jan 25
W
KOvs Gilbert Urbina · Aug 25
W
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Nov 25
W
KOvs Geoff Neal · Feb 26
latest
Jalin Turner
oldest →
L
vs Dan Hooker · Jul 23
W
KOvs King Green · Dec 23
L
KOvs Renato Moicano · Apr 24
L
SUBvs Ignacio Bahamondes · Mar 25
W
KOvs Edson Barboza · Dec 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Uros MedicMetricJalin Turner
5.59
Strikes / min
5.79
3.42
Strikes absorbed / min
4.54
56%
Strike defense
41%
0.34
TDs / 15 min
0.75
55%
Takedown defense
75%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.17evenly matched on net striking+1.25

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1518 vs 1520Strikes10.5 vs 6.2Takedowns0.0 vs 1.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 1.90Form1.0 vs 0.6
Uros MedicJalin Turner

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801498151515331550← oldermost recent →
Uros Medic(10 fights)Jalin Turner(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +32.4|Blue -32.4
Recent Form
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red -175.0|Blue +175.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Uros MedicTargetJalin Turner

By target zone

2
33% acc · 33%
Head
16
44% acc · 64%
0
0% acc
Body
8
89% acc · 32%
4
100% acc · 67%
Leg
1
50% acc · 4%

By position

6
55% acc · 100%
Distance
16
52% acc · 64%
0
Clinch
3
100% acc · 12%
0
Ground
6
46% acc · 24%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Uros Medic rounds
0
even
1
Jalin Turner rounds
Round 1Jalin Turner edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
25Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:24Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
6 / 11
Sig Strikes
25 / 47
54%
Sig Str %
53%
6 / 11
Total Strikes
40 / 68
0 / 0
TDs
1 / 1
—
TD %
100%
0
Sub Att
1
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
2:24

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Jalin Turner25 / 4740 / 681 / 11
1Uros Medic6 / 116 / 110 / 00

Uros Medic

StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights10

Jalin Turner

StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights14