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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Uros Medic won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1539

Elo1482

Uros MedicvsGilbert UrbinaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · Saturday, August 9, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Uros Medic won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:03

Style matchupUros Medic: StrikervsGilbert Urbina: Wrestler

Classic striker-vs-wrestler. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.

Model Prediction: Gilbert Urbina wins(51.8%)

Actual result: Uros Medic wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Gilbert Urbina at +270 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Uros Medic is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Gilbert Urbina has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Uros Medic has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Uros Medic has 55pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Stance matchup historically favors Uros Medic (53.5%).
Gilbert Urbina has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Uros Medic

Red Corner

Gilbert Urbina

Blue Corner

-335

(77%)

Vegas Odds

+270

(27%)

1539

Elo

1482

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'3"

180.34 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Uros MedicW2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Myktybek Orolbai · Nov 23

KOvs Tim Means · Apr 24

KOvs Punahele Soriano · Jan 25

KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Nov 25

KOvs Geoff Neal · Feb 26

latest

Gilbert Urbina

oldest →

SUBvs Bryan Battle · Aug 21

KOvs Orion Cosce · May 23

KOvs Charles Radtke · Feb 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Uros MedicMetricGilbert Urbina

5.59

Strikes / min

5.57

3.42

Strikes absorbed / min

4.62

56%

Strike defense

44%

0.34

TDs / 15 min

2.86

55%

Takedown defense

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.17Δ 1.22 — meaningful gap+0.95

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Uros MedicGilbert Urbina

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Uros Medic(10 fights)Gilbert Urbina(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +57.5|Blue -57.5

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red -343.0|Blue +343.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Uros MedicTargetGilbert Urbina

By target zone

50% acc · 80%

Head

43% acc · 60%

100% acc · 20%

Body

50% acc · 20%

Leg

100% acc · 20%

By position

43% acc · 60%

Distance

50% acc · 100%

100% acc · 20%

Clinch

100% acc · 20%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Uros Medic rounds

even

Gilbert Urbina rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:01

Knockdowns1

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

5 / 9

Sig Strikes

5 / 10

55%

Sig Str %

50%

6 / 10

Total Strikes

5 / 10

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:01

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Gilbert Urbina	5 / 10	5 / 10	0 / 0	0
1	Uros Medic	5 / 9	6 / 10	0 / 0	0

Uros Medic

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights10

Gilbert Urbina

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights4