Bantamweight

5 Rounds

Urijah Faber won · SUB R4

Elo1492

Elo1356

Urijah FabervsScott JorgensenUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale · Saturday, April 13, 2013Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Urijah Faber won

SUB · Round 4 · 3:16

Style matchupUrijah Faber: Well-roundedvsScott Jorgensen: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Urijah Faber wins(71.8%)

Actual result: Urijah Faber wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Urijah Faber at -440 American odds

+$23 profit

$123 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Scott Jorgensen enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Urijah Faber threatens submissions; Scott Jorgensen has lost 38% of fights by sub.

Tale of the Tape

Urijah Faber

Red Corner

Scott Jorgensen

Blue Corner

-440

(81%)

Vegas Odds

+390

(20%)

1492

Elo

1356

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'5"

170.18 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Urijah Faber

oldest →

vs Dominick Cruz · Jun 16

vs Jimmie Rivera · Sep 16

vs Brad Pickett · Dec 16

KOvs Ricky Simon · Jul 19

KOvs Peter Yan · Dec 19

latest

Scott JorgensenL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Jussier Formiga · Mar 14

vs Danny Martinez · Jun 14

SUBvs Wilson Reis · Oct 14

vs Manvel Gamburyan · Jul 15

KOvs Alejandro Perez · Nov 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Urijah FaberMetricScott Jorgensen

2.65

Strikes / min

3.37

2.59

Strikes absorbed / min

3.41

64%

Strike defense

65%

1.54

TDs / 15 min

2.61

58%

Takedown defense

59%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.06evenly matched on net striking-0.04

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Urijah FaberScott Jorgensen

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Urijah Faber(10 fights)Scott Jorgensen(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +136.2|Blue -136.2

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -77.0|Blue +77.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Urijah FaberTargetScott Jorgensen

By target zone

46% acc · 61%

Head

33% acc · 62%

89% acc · 34%

Body

67% acc · 11%

100% acc · 4%

Leg

100% acc · 27%

By position

56% acc · 94%

Distance

41% acc · 89%

83% acc · 5%

Clinch

80% acc · 11%

50% acc · 1%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Urijah Faber rounds

even

Scott Jorgensen rounds

Round 1Urijah Faber edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns1

Control3:23

5Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:47Control

Round 2Urijah Faber edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns1

Control1:04

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:20Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns1

Control0:11

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:01Control

Round 4Urijah Faber edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns1

Control0:29

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

93 / 163

Sig Strikes

73 / 168

59%

Sig Str %

48.5%

119 / 200

Total Strikes

76 / 173

4 / 6

TDs

1 / 6

75%

TD %

11%

Sub Att

Rev

5:07

Ctrl Time

2:08

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Scott Jorgensen	5 / 7	5 / 8	1 / 3	0
1	Urijah Faber	11 / 16	18 / 27	1 / 2	2
2	Urijah Faber	28 / 56	42 / 70	1 / 1	0
2	Scott Jorgensen	20 / 48	21 / 50	0 / 2	0
3	Scott Jorgensen	31 / 66	32 / 67	0 / 0	0
3	Urijah Faber	30 / 50	34 / 61	1 / 1	0
4	Scott Jorgensen	17 / 47	18 / 48	0 / 1	0
4	Urijah Faber	24 / 41	25 / 42	1 / 2	1

Urijah Faber

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights18

Scott Jorgensen

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights12