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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Urijah Faber won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1492

Elo1500

Urijah FabervsRicky SimonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · Saturday, July 13, 2019Sacramento, California, USA

Official fight result

Urijah Faber won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:46

Style matchupUrijah Faber: Well-roundedvsRicky Simon: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Ricky Simon wins(58.5%)

Actual result: Urijah Faber wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ricky Simon at -355 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ricky Simon has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Urijah Faber

Red Corner

Ricky Simon

Blue Corner

+320

(24%)

Vegas Odds

-355

(78%)

1492

Elo

1500

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'6"

170.18 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Urijah Faber

oldest →

vs Frankie Saenz · Dec 15

vs Dominick Cruz · Jun 16

vs Jimmie Rivera · Sep 16

vs Brad Pickett · Dec 16

KOvs Peter Yan · Dec 19

latest

Ricky Simon

oldest →

vs Vinicius Oliveira · Jun 24

KOvs Javid Basharat · Feb 25

vs Cameron Smotherman · Jun 25

vs Raoni Barcelos · Nov 25

vs Adrian Yanez · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Urijah FaberMetricRicky Simon

2.65

Strikes / min

3.03

2.59

Strikes absorbed / min

3.90

64%

Strike defense

61%

1.54

TDs / 15 min

4.49

58%

Takedown defense

76%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.06evenly matched on net striking-0.87

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Urijah FaberRicky Simon

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Urijah Faber(10 fights)Ricky Simon(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -8.4|Blue +8.4

Recent Form

Red -1.1|Blue +1.1

Striker Score

Red +1.3|Blue -1.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +784.0|Blue -784.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Urijah FaberTargetRicky Simon

By target zone

69% acc · 82%

Head

40% acc · 50%

100% acc · 9%

Body

100% acc · 9%

Leg

67% acc · 50%

By position

60% acc · 27%

Distance

50% acc · 100%

Clinch

80% acc · 73%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Urijah Faber rounds

even

Ricky Simon rounds

Round 1Urijah Faber edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:08

Knockdowns1

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

11 / 15

Sig Strikes

4 / 8

73%

Sig Str %

50%

11 / 15

Total Strikes

4 / 8

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:08

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Ricky Simon	4 / 8	4 / 8	0 / 0	0
1	Urijah Faber	11 / 15	11 / 15	0 / 0	0

Urijah Faber

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights18

Ricky Simon

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights17