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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Urijah Faber won · U-DEC R3

Elo1492

Elo1427

Urijah FabervsEddie WinelandUFC Prediction Result

UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · Saturday, March 19, 2011Newark, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Urijah Faber won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupUrijah Faber: Well-roundedvsEddie Wineland: Striker

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Eddie Wineland wins(50.2%)

Actual result: Urijah Faber wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Eddie Wineland at +355 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Eddie Wineland enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Eddie Wineland has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Urijah Faber

Red Corner

Eddie Wineland

Blue Corner

-400

(80%)

Vegas Odds

+355

(22%)

1492

Elo

1427

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'7"

170.18 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Urijah Faber

oldest →

vs Dominick Cruz · Jun 16

vs Jimmie Rivera · Sep 16

vs Brad Pickett · Dec 16

KOvs Ricky Simon · Jul 19

KOvs Peter Yan · Dec 19

latest

Eddie WinelandL3 streak

oldest →

vs Alejandro Perez · Jul 18

KOvs Grigorii Popov · Jun 19

KOvs Sean O'Malley · Jun 20

KOvs John Castaneda · Feb 21

KOvs Cody Stamann · Jun 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Urijah FaberMetricEddie Wineland

2.65

Strikes / min

3.40

2.59

Strikes absorbed / min

3.76

64%

Strike defense

68%

1.54

TDs / 15 min

0.34

58%

Takedown defense

86%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.06evenly matched on net striking-0.36

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Urijah Faber(10 fights)Eddie Wineland(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +64.5|Blue -64.5

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Urijah FaberTargetEddie Wineland

By target zone

40% acc · 73%

Head

12% acc · 73%

63% acc · 24%

Body

50% acc · 9%

50% acc · 2%

Leg

50% acc · 18%

By position

43% acc · 49%

Distance

11% acc · 64%

100% acc · 12%

Clinch

75% acc · 27%

40% acc · 39%

Ground

33% acc · 9%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Urijah Faber rounds

even

Eddie Wineland rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:00

7Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:31Control

Round 2Urijah Faber edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns1

Control3:40

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Urijah Faber edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns1

Control1:26

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:11Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

49 / 110

Sig Strikes

11 / 71

44.7%

Sig Str %

14.3%

61 / 122

Total Strikes

21 / 81

2 / 11

TDs

1 / 3

41.7%

TD %

33%

Sub Att

Rev

5:06

Ctrl Time

1:42

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Eddie Wineland	7 / 23	8 / 24	1 / 3
1	Urijah Faber	13 / 26	15 / 28	0 / 6
2	Eddie Wineland	0 / 18	7 / 25	0 / 0
2	Urijah Faber	18 / 41	18 / 41	1 / 1
3	Eddie Wineland	4 / 30	6 / 32	0 / 0
3	Urijah Faber	18 / 43	28 / 53	1 / 4

Urijah Faber

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights18

Eddie Wineland

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights16