← All fights/Event page

Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Urijah Faber won · SUB R2

Elo1492

Elo1352

Urijah FabervsBrian BowlesUFC Prediction Result

UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · Saturday, November 19, 2011San Jose, California, USA

Official fight result

Urijah Faber won

SUB · Round 2 · 1:27

Style matchupUrijah Faber: Well-roundedvsBrian Bowles: Submission grappler

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: Brian Bowles wins(50.0%)

Actual result: Urijah Faber wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Brian Bowles at +164 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Urijah Faber threatens submissions; Brian Bowles has lost 50% of fights by sub.

Tale of the Tape

Urijah Faber

Red Corner

Brian Bowles

Blue Corner

-174

(64%)

Vegas Odds

+164

(38%)

1492

Elo

1352

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'7"

170.18 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Urijah Faber

oldest →

vs Dominick Cruz · Jun 16

vs Jimmie Rivera · Sep 16

vs Brad Pickett · Dec 16

KOvs Ricky Simon · Jul 19

KOvs Peter Yan · Dec 19

latest

Brian Bowles

oldest →

SUBvs Damacio Page · Mar 11

vs Takeya Mizugaki · Jul 11

KOvs George Roop · May 13

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Urijah FaberMetricBrian Bowles

2.65

Strikes / min

2.36

2.59

Strikes absorbed / min

2.98

64%

Strike defense

64%

1.54

TDs / 15 min

1.39

58%

Takedown defense

54%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

1.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.06evenly matched on net striking-0.62

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Urijah FaberBrian Bowles

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Urijah Faber(10 fights)Brian Bowles(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +139.8|Blue -139.8

Recent Form

Red -1.1|Blue +1.1

Striker Score

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Urijah FaberTargetBrian Bowles

By target zone

57% acc · 86%

Head

11% acc · 54%

60% acc · 8%

Body

83% acc · 38%

100% acc · 6%

Leg

100% acc · 8%

By position

47% acc · 47%

Distance

18% acc · 92%

100% acc · 3%

Clinch

50% acc · 8%

75% acc · 50%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Urijah Faber rounds

even

Brian Bowles rounds

Round 1Urijah Faber edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns1

Control1:25

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Urijah Faber edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:56

Knockdowns1

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

36 / 61

Sig Strikes

13 / 68

61.5%

Sig Str %

10.5%

44 / 69

Total Strikes

14 / 69

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

2:21

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Brian Bowles	13 / 61	14 / 62	0 / 0	0
1	Urijah Faber	17 / 36	20 / 39	1 / 1	0
2	Brian Bowles	0 / 7	0 / 7	0 / 0	0
2	Urijah Faber	19 / 25	24 / 30	0 / 0	1

Urijah Faber

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights18

Brian Bowles

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights4