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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Urijah Faber won · U-DEC R3

Elo1492

Elo1360

Urijah FabervsBrad PickettUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · Saturday, December 17, 2016Sacramento, California, USA

Official fight result

Urijah Faber won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupUrijah Faber: Well-roundedvsBrad Pickett: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Urijah Faber wins(73.4%)

Actual result: Urijah Faber wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Urijah Faber at -340 American odds

+$29 profit

$129 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Urijah Faber threatens submissions; Brad Pickett has lost 33% of fights by sub.

Tale of the Tape

Urijah Faber

Red Corner

Brad Pickett

Blue Corner

-340

(77%)

Vegas Odds

+280

(26%)

1492

Elo

1360

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'6"

170.18 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Urijah Faber

oldest →

vs Frankie Saenz · Dec 15

vs Dominick Cruz · Jun 16

vs Jimmie Rivera · Sep 16

KOvs Ricky Simon · Jul 19

KOvs Peter Yan · Dec 19

latest

Brad PickettL2 streak

oldest →

vs Chico Camus · Nov 14

KOvs Thomas Almeida · Jul 15

vs Francisco Rivera · Feb 16

SUBvs Iuri Alcantara · Oct 16

KOvs Marlon Vera · Mar 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Urijah FaberMetricBrad Pickett

2.65

Strikes / min

3.02

2.59

Strikes absorbed / min

4.63

64%

Strike defense

55%

1.54

TDs / 15 min

2.47

58%

Takedown defense

58%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.06Δ 1.67 — meaningful gap-1.61

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Urijah FaberBrad Pickett

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Urijah Faber(10 fights)Brad Pickett(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +132.3|Blue -132.3

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +28.0|Blue -28.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Urijah FaberTargetBrad Pickett

By target zone

54% acc · 87%

Head

19% acc · 44%

71% acc · 7%

Body

25% acc · 6%

80% acc · 6%

Leg

47% acc · 50%

By position

39% acc · 41%

Distance

27% acc · 94%

50% acc · 3%

Clinch

0% acc

83% acc · 56%

Ground

100% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Urijah Faber rounds

even

Brad Pickett rounds

Round 1Urijah Faber edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns0

Control1:58

Knockdowns1

3Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:27Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Urijah Faber edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns2

Control1:34

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Urijah Faber edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns3

Control2:50

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

70 / 126

Sig Strikes

18 / 65

55%

Sig Str %

27.3%

89 / 151

Total Strikes

20 / 67

5 / 10

TDs

1 / 1

36.7%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

6:22

Ctrl Time

0:30

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Brad Pickett	3 / 22	3 / 22	1 / 1	0
1	Urijah Faber	33 / 51	44 / 64	0 / 1	0
2	Brad Pickett	10 / 29	12 / 31	0 / 0	0
2	Urijah Faber	14 / 41	18 / 48	2 / 4	1
3	Brad Pickett	5 / 14	5 / 14	0 / 0	0
3	Urijah Faber	23 / 34	27 / 39	3 / 5	0

Urijah Faber

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights18

Brad Pickett

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights14