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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Uriah Hall won · U-DEC R3

Elo1430

Elo1432

Uriah HallvsThiago SantosUFC Prediction Result

UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · Saturday, July 5, 2014Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Uriah Hall won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupUriah Hall: Well-roundedvsThiago Santos: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Uriah Hall wins(56.0%)

Actual result: Uriah Hall wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Uriah Hall at -310 American odds

+$32 profit

$132 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Uriah Hall

Red Corner

Thiago Santos

Blue Corner

-310

(76%)

Vegas Odds

+255

(28%)

1430

Elo

1432

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'2"

200.66 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Uriah HallL2 streak

oldest →

vs Antonio Carlos Junior · Sep 19

KOvs Anderson Silva · Oct 20

KOvs Chris Weidman · Apr 21

vs Sean Strickland · Jul 21

vs Andre Muniz · Jul 22

latest

Thiago SantosL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Nov 20

vs Aleksandar Rakic · Mar 21

vs Johnny Walker · Oct 21

vs Magomed Ankalaev · Mar 22

KOvs Jamahal Hill · Aug 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Uriah HallMetricThiago Santos

3.23

Strikes / min

3.72

3.85

Strikes absorbed / min

2.57

54%

Strike defense

53%

0.54

TDs / 15 min

0.88

64%

Takedown defense

65%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.62Δ 1.77 — meaningful gap+1.15

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Uriah HallThiago Santos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Uriah Hall(10 fights)Thiago Santos(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -2.5|Blue +2.5

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red +2.0|Blue -2.0

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +85.0|Blue -85.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Uriah HallTargetThiago Santos

By target zone

28% acc · 52%

Head

11% acc · 18%

27% acc · 10%

Body

24% acc · 9%

89% acc · 38%

Leg

78% acc · 73%

By position

37% acc · 95%

Distance

30% acc · 82%

50% acc · 2%

Clinch

100% acc · 11%

25% acc · 2%

Ground

75% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Uriah Hall rounds

even

Thiago Santos rounds

Round 1Uriah Hall edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns1

Control0:03

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:02

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:00

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

42 / 113

Sig Strikes

44 / 129

37%

Sig Str %

33.7%

42 / 113

Total Strikes

48 / 133

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 2

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:05

Ctrl Time

1:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Thiago Santos	15 / 47	15 / 47	0 / 0	0
1	Uriah Hall	14 / 44	14 / 44	1 / 1	0
2	Thiago Santos	13 / 36	13 / 36	0 / 1	0
2	Uriah Hall	11 / 34	11 / 34	0 / 0	0
3	Thiago Santos	16 / 46	20 / 50	0 / 1	0
3	Uriah Hall	17 / 35	17 / 35	0 / 0	1

Uriah Hall

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights20

Thiago Santos

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights24