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Middleweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Kelvin Gastelum won · S-DEC R3

Elo1430

Elo1492

Uriah HallvsKelvin GastelumUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale · Saturday, April 13, 2013Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Kelvin Gastelum won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupUriah Hall: Well-roundedvsKelvin Gastelum: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Uriah Hall wins(55.2%)

Actual result: Kelvin Gastelum wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Uriah Hall at -285 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Kelvin Gastelum (53.5%).
Uriah Hall has a 20cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Uriah Hall

Red Corner

Kelvin Gastelum

Blue Corner

-285

(74%)

Vegas Odds

+258

(28%)

1430

Elo

1492

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'0"

Height

5'9"

200.66 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Uriah HallL2 streak

oldest →

vs Antonio Carlos Junior · Sep 19

KOvs Anderson Silva · Oct 20

KOvs Chris Weidman · Apr 21

vs Sean Strickland · Jul 21

vs Andre Muniz · Jul 22

latest

Kelvin Gastelum

oldest →

SUBvs Sean Brady · Dec 23

vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jun 24

vs Joe Pyfer · Jun 25

vs Dustin Stoltzfus · Sep 25

SUBvs Vicente Luque · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Uriah HallMetricKelvin Gastelum

3.23

Strikes / min

3.65

3.85

Strikes absorbed / min

3.52

54%

Strike defense

57%

0.54

TDs / 15 min

1.04

64%

Takedown defense

60%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.62evenly matched on net striking+0.13

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Uriah Hall(10 fights)Kelvin Gastelum(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -61.8|Blue +61.8

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Uriah HallTargetKelvin Gastelum

By target zone

45% acc · 52%

Head

14% acc · 23%

72% acc · 30%

Body

100% acc · 45%

100% acc · 18%

Leg

91% acc · 32%

By position

47% acc · 64%

Distance

35% acc · 58%

100% acc · 18%

Clinch

77% acc · 32%

89% acc · 18%

Ground

30% acc · 10%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Uriah Hall rounds

even

Kelvin Gastelum rounds

Round 1Kelvin Gastelum edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:07

17Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:31Control

Round 2Uriah Hall edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns2

Control1:33

8Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:05Control

Round 3Uriah Hall edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:13

6Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:53Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

44 / 77

Sig Strikes

31 / 74

59.3%

Sig Str %

40.3%

81 / 121

Total Strikes

81 / 141

2 / 3

TDs

3 / 6

50%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

1:53

Ctrl Time

6:29

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Kelvin Gastelum	17 / 34	39 / 64	1 / 2
1	Uriah Hall	12 / 25	19 / 32	0 / 1
2	Kelvin Gastelum	8 / 18	24 / 36	1 / 2
2	Uriah Hall	16 / 20	27 / 32	2 / 2
3	Kelvin Gastelum	6 / 22	18 / 41	1 / 2
3	Uriah Hall	16 / 32	35 / 57	0 / 0

Uriah Hall

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights20

Kelvin Gastelum

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights24